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Defense Spending Is Rising—Here Are 3 Stocks Built for Turbulent Times

By Dan Schmidt. Posted: 1/21/2026.

Article Highlights

The Trump administration announced plans to increase defense spending to $1.5 trillion in 2027, up from $900 billion in 2026.
In an increasingly uncertain world, investors are turning to safe havens like precious metals, but defense stocks can also be good investments while the global picture becomes volatile.
These three large-cap stocks are well-positioned to profit from an increased Pentagon budget and geopolitical uncertainty.

We're only three weeks into 2026, but it already feels like Billy Joel can add another verse to We Didn't Start the Fire:

Ukraine–Russia tensions boil,

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U.S. wants Caracas oil.

Massive protests in Iran,

President Trump threatens Greenland.

It's an uncertain time; safe-haven assets like gold and silver are making new all-time highs. In turbulent periods, defense stocks can also serve as a refuge for capital — a dynamic that strengthened when the Trump administration announced plans to increase defense spending to $1.5 trillion in 2027.

3 Companies That Benefit From a Bolstered Defense Budget

If the defense budget rises to $1.5 trillion in 2027, much of that money will flow to large-cap companies in the aerospace and defense sector. Here are three firms that should win substantial Pentagon contracts moving forward.

Lockheed Martin: A Capital Compounder Back in Action

Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT) has had a rough few years, but it remains the undisputed leader in U.S. defense contracting and has expanded its global footprint, becoming an indispensable partner for many NATO countries.

The company runs the U.S. F-35 fighter program and delivered a record 191 F-35 Lightning II aircraft in 2025. Fulfilling nearly 200 deliveries to a variety of global customers (including Denmark and Italy) shows the production line can handle increased output of complex designs.

Lockheed has also ramped up production of its PAC-3 MSE missile defense system, targeting 2,000 units per year. Military hardware typically carries lower margins than software businesses like cybersecurity or AI, but a $1.5 trillion defense budget would likely prioritize expensive hardware — planes, ships, and missiles. Lockheed already boasts a backlog of nearly $180 billion, and its valuation and dividend yield make it appealing for both income and potential price appreciation.

The company trades at about 21x forward earnings, cheaper than many large-cap peers such as L3 Harris Technologies Inc. (NYSE: LHX) and RTX Corp. (NYSE: RTX). The dividend yields 2.37%, and Lockheed has raised payouts for 22 straight years; however, the payout ratio of roughly 77% is higher than ideal for a business facing rising materials costs.

LMT shares are off to a strong start in 2026, rising more than 20% in less than three weeks. Technical traders likely noticed the breakout unfolding in December: the price moved above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) just as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) began to show bullish momentum. Lockheed reports Q4 2025 earnings on Jan. 29, and another quarter like Q3's top- and bottom-line beat could push shares higher.

Boeing: Finally Pulling Its Weight Again in the Duopoly

For several years, Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) was a stock investors watched warily from a distance.

The company fell behind its European competitor, Airbus SE (OTCMKTS: EADSF), and a series of scandals and leadership changes made Boeing largely uninvestable. Its reforms now appear to be progressing: Boeing expects to deliver 52 737 MAX aircraft per month by the end of 2026.

Expanding production is crucial to working through a backlog that exceeds $600 billion (including about $76 billion in the defense segment). Boeing reported narrower-than-expected year-over-year losses in its Q3 2025 earnings report, and it will report Q4 results on Jan. 27.

Boeing still has a suspended dividend and a strained cash-flow profile, so investing in BA remains somewhat speculative. That said, technical signals suggest the speculative case is gaining traction: a December Death Cross looks to have been a false alarm, the MACD is showing rising bullish momentum, and a Golden Cross on the 50-day and 200-day SMAs is now imminent.

Boeing hasn't made a new all-time high since February 2019 and would need to gain more than 80% from current levels to reach that peak. However, the stock has sustained upward momentum for the first time in years, and an expanded defense budget should help it return to positive earnings.

Leidos Holdings: High-Margin Products for a Modernized Pentagon

Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LDOS) is the value pick of the three, despite being a relative newcomer after its 2013 spin-off from Science Applications International Corp. (NYSE: SAIC).

A roughly $25 billion market cap is sizable, but it still pales compared with giants like Lockheed or Boeing. Why Leidos? Because it sits at the forefront of modern defense technology, using AI to develop cybersecurity and cloud solutions for an increasingly digitized Pentagon.

The company landed a $455 million contract with the Air Force to provide cloud computing for the Cloud One program, and its cybersecurity and AI-enabled counterterrorism software align with many high-priority Pentagon initiatives.

Leidos trades at about 18x forward earnings and 1.49x sales — a moderate valuation for a company selling some of the highest-margin products to the Department of Defense. The chart in this article also shows bullish technical signals despite recent volatility.

The stock is back above the 50-day SMA after a two-month bear trap and may be using that level as support again. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending higher and still has room before reaching overbought territory.