When the Levee Breaks

When the Levee Breaks

By Prof. Jeffrey Bierman, CMT

Hey trader,

I drive my kids to school in Chicago every morning. The route home takes me 15 minutes through the city because they changed the bridges.

It used to take five.

I have been making this drive for years. Something changed recently.

There are fewer cars on the road and fewer Uber drivers in sight.

More people are walking now. Young, old, all ages, taking public transit and riding bikes to avoid spending money they do not have.

I see it every single day. The consumer is breaking in real time, and you can spot it from a car window if you pay attention.

This week I spent five days teaching members how to spot changes in market leadership. I referenced Led Zeppelin's "When the Levee Breaks" because that is exactly where we are.

The cracks are forming and the water is rising. The levee has not failed yet, but the pressure is building from underneath.

This weekend, I want to show you the clues I am watching.

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