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The Quiet Retail Compounder Investors Keep Buying on Every Dip
Written by Thomas Hughes. Published: 3/10/2026.
Key Points
- Casey’s General Stores’ latest earnings report showed modest revenue growth but strong margin expansion, driving outsized earnings gains.
- Management raised profit guidance, and steady cash flow supports dividends and ongoing buybacks despite a softer revenue outlook.
- Analyst and institutional positioning remains bullish, and the recent pullback may be a buy-the-dip entry for long-term holders.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) is a long-term retail holding that has tended to reward a buy-the-dip approach. The company is high-quality: it internally funds growth, consolidates in a still-fractured market, generates ample cash flow, and returns capital to shareholders. Those factors have produced a steady uptrend in the share price, underscoring the effectiveness of this strategy. In early March 2026, CASY stock is pulling back and setting up its next buying opportunity.
Mixed Results Spark Drop in Casey’s Shares
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Discover the #1 Memecoin To Own NowCasey’s General Stores delivered a solid fiscal third quarter even though revenue fell short of the consensus estimate. Revenue grew 0.5%, supported by strength across both segments, higher store counts, and wider margins — evidence the company continues to manage costs, drive growth, and generate profitable cash flow.
Segmentally, Inside sales were strongest, up 4% on a comparable-store basis, driven by a 3.3% increase in grocery sales and a 4.7% increase in prepared foods. Gasoline sales were modestly positive, up 0.4%, alongside a 4.6-cent (11.2%) lift in fuel margin. Rewards club membership — another indicator of momentum — surpassed 10 million members for the first time.
Margin news was the highlight. The robust Inside performance and higher fuel margin flowed through the income statement: EBITDA rose 27.5%, net income increased 49.3%, and GAAP earnings grew 50%, all well ahead of top-line gains. Management expects margin strength to persist through year-end and accordingly raised profit guidance. The downside is that the 2026 revenue outlook remains shy of consensus, a near-term headwind for the share price.
Casey’s Capital Return Trumps Revenue Miss
While the revenue miss and softer guidance indicate weaker-than-expected traffic, they are offset by margin strength, strong cash flow, and the company’s ability to return capital. Casey’s continues to pay dividends and repurchase shares, and the margin improvement supports the reliability of those distributions and ongoing growth.
The dividend yields roughly 0.34% — modest, but consistent with about 10% of expected earnings — and the company’s payout history bolsters a buy-and-hold case. Casey’s has raised its dividend for more than 25 consecutive years and is listed among Dividend Aristocrats.
Share repurchases in fiscal 2026 are modest but meaningful. Casey’s resumed buybacks after pausing to build cash for an acquisition and reduced the share count year over year in Q3, with shares down about 0.3%. Buybacks are likely to continue at a similar pace in Q4. Under the current authorization, the company has sufficient capacity for roughly three quarters at the Q3 repurchase rate and would probably expand the authorization in FY2027 if acquisition activity is limited.
Casey’s balance sheet reflects the accretive impact of operations and the acquisition of Fike. At quarter end, cash and total assets rose while liabilities increased more modestly. Long-term debt declined and equity was up roughly 9.8% (another boost to shareholder value), with leverage remaining low. Including lease obligations, long-term debt is less than 1x equity, leaving the company in a healthy, flexible financial position.
Institutions and Analysts Drive Casey’s Stock Price Higher
Institutional and analyst trends are solidly bullish, which supports higher prices for Casey’s stock. MarketBeat tracks 14 analysts rating the shares a Moderate Buy; the buy-side bias is 57%, and the price-target trend is upward. The consensus target lags the market as of early March but is up more than 50% on a trailing-12-month (TTM) basis, with recent revisions pushing it toward the top of the range. The high-end $725 target was set the day before the Q3 release, and post-report activity has reinforced that level. The highest target implies at least about 10% upside from current levels, and continued positive revisions could lift targets further.
Institutional behavior is equally supportive: institutions own more than 85% of the stock and have been net buyers for six consecutive quarters, with activity ramping to record highs in Q1 2026. In Q1, MarketBeat’s data show that more than $2 was bought for every $1 sold, providing a tailwind for price action. Given that backdrop, institutions and analysts are likely to lean into the stock and pick up shares on the post-release dip.
3 International Stocks Most U.S. Investors Have Never Heard Of
By Bridget Bennett. First Published: 3/20/2026.
Key Points
- The gap between United States and European equity valuations has widened, pushing some global stock pickers to look overseas for “quality at a reasonable price.”
- Pieter Slegers highlighted Games Workshop, Investor AB, and LVMH-Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton as examples of durable businesses he believes are priced more attractively than many U.S. peers.
- The argument rests on selective stock-picking rather than a blanket “Europe is better” call, with the main risk being that cheaper European valuations persist longer than expected.
- Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company
U.S. markets have dominated for the better part of two decades. But the cycle may be turning—and the valuation gap between American and European equities is getting harder to ignore.
Pieter Slegers, of Compounding Quality, spends his time searching for businesses with high margins, strong balance sheets, and durable competitive advantages. Increasingly, he says, the best risk-reward setups are showing up outside the United States.
Why the U.S.-Europe Valuation Gap Matters Now
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Click here to see how to claim your SpaceX access codeSlegers doesn't pretend Europe is broadly better than the United States. He acknowledges that U.S. companies, on average, have higher margins and stronger fundamentals. But that gap is precisely what makes selective European investing interesting right now. When you find a European company that matches U.S. quality, you often pay 14 or 15 times earnings instead of 25.
Markets move in cycles. Historically, the United States outperforms international markets for about eight years, then the pattern reverses. The current U.S. streak has lasted roughly 16 years—an unusually long run. Slegers recommends that investors consider allocating 40% to 50% of investable assets outside U.S. stocks for genuine geographic diversification.
As he put it, quoting Buffett: "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked." That backdrop frames the stocks he brought to the table.
Games Workshop: The Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
The first name is one that almost no U.S. investor will recognize: Games Workshop (LON: GAW). This U.K.-based company produces miniatures for tabletop games—a niche business, and that's the point. Niche companies with fanatical customer bases tend to generate pricing power that shows up in long-term returns.
The GAW chart is remarkable: Games Workshop has returned roughly 140-fold since 1994, making it one of the best-performing U.K. stocks over that period. The company raises prices about 5%–6% annually, and customers remain loyal.
Slegers compared the loyalty to addiction: "Once you are a Games Workshop player, you always stick to the game." One anecdote he shared involved a club leader who owned $125,000 worth of miniatures.
The same CEO has led the company for more than 20 years, and a pending deal with Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) could be the next catalyst. At current levels, this isn't a company where the growth story is over—it's one where the moat appears to be widening.
Investor AB: Europe's Answer to Berkshire Hathaway
If you want broad European exposure through a single stock with a long track record, Investor AB (OTCMKTS: IVSBF) is the name Slegers highlighted. This Swedish holding company dates to 1916, and the Wallenberg family still retains roughly 20% ownership.
Investor AB operates across three areas: direct stakes in listed European companies like Atlas Copco (OTCMKTS: ATLKY) and ABB (NYSE: ABBNY), private equity activities, and growth investments.
Since 2001, the stock has roughly doubled every five years. Slegers has dined with the CFO and head of investor relations multiple times and says the management team "walks the talk."
The case is straightforward: if you're adding European exposure for the first time, Investor AB has outperformed the Stoxx Europe 600 over the medium and long term, with management incentives closely aligned with shareholders.
LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton: Luxury at a Discount to the S&P 500
LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton (OTCMKTS: LVMUY) needs little introduction. The French luxury conglomerate behind Louis Vuitton, Dior, and many other iconic brands is among Europe's largest companies. Bernard Arnault, the richest person in Europe, owns about 50% and continues to add to his stake.
Two dynamics make LVMH compelling at current prices. First, luxury brand equity built over decades is difficult to replicate and rarely disrupted overnight. Second, the company's growth in China and broader Asia remains a powerful long-term tailwind.
At roughly 20 to 21 times earnings, LVMH trades slightly below the S&P 500 average while offering fundamentals that are meaningfully better than the typical index constituent. Cheaper and better is a combination worth noting.
The Common Thread Across These Names
Every stock on this list shares a few traits: founder-led or long-tenured management, durable competitive advantages, and valuations that look attractive relative to U.S. peers. The risk is that European markets remain cheap longer than expected—but the upside is that a rerating appears to be underway as more institutional capital rotates toward international equities.
You don't need to go all-in on Europe to benefit. But ignoring the opportunity entirely—especially when quality names trade at meaningful discounts—means leaving diversification and potential returns on the table. That's the setup heading into the rest of 2026.
Watch the full video above for a deeper look at these names (and more).
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