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2 Lesser-Known Photonics Firms May Play an Outsized Role in AIReported by Nathan Reiff. Originally Published: 3/25/2026. 
Key Points
- In early March, NVIDIA made a key investment of $2 billion each in two photonics firms, sparking renewed interest in this lesser-known technology that could have big implications for AI.
- Coherent was one of the beneficiaries of NVIDIA's investment, with momentum supported by production increases, data center business growth, and more.
- Nova is another company operating adjacent to these firms that has benefited from surging demand from semiconductor makers.
- Special Report: Have $500? Invest in Elon’s AI Masterplan
While uncertainty about how the Iran war could disrupt the artificial intelligence industry's rapid growth is mounting, there has not been a notable sell-off in the biggest AI names. As a result, the AI sector's losses haven't outpaced the broader S&P 500's 4% year-to-date (YTD) decline. Despite external turbulence, new opportunities may be emerging in the AI space. Specifically, a major move by NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)—investing $2 billion each into two smaller photonics companies, Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ: LITE) and Coherent Inc. (NYSE: COHR)—could signal an increased focus on this developing branch of AI-adjacent technology.
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NVIDIA appears bullish that photonics firms could be instrumental to the next stage of AI infrastructure. Investors have responded, sending those two stocks higher over the past month. This shift has also lifted other photonics firms. Here's what investors need to know. Coherent's Big NVIDIA News Could Be Transformative, but Investors Should Keep an Eye on ValuationOne of the key constraints on scaling AI infrastructure is bandwidth. Traditional inter-chip communication methods can limit capacity, and photonics may be essential to expanding throughput as AI clusters continue to grow. NVIDIA has made a substantial bet on Coherent, one of the leading photonics companies, which carries a market capitalization near $51 billion. The firms have had a 20-year relationship that was recently deepened by NVIDIA's latest investment under a non-exclusive agreement that allows Coherent to continue pursuing other customers. COHR shares are up more than 45% YTD and now trade roughly 11% above the $241.92 consensus price target. Analysts remain positive: 14 of 19 covering the stock assign it a Buy rating. Investors may point to the company's fundamentals to justify its lofty ~270x earnings valuation: Coherent's revenue rose 17% year-over-year (YOY) in the latest quarter to about $1.7 billion, and earnings per share of $1.29 beat expectations by $0.26. Those gains have been driven by strong data center demand, a ramp-up in production capacity, and optimistic guidance—revenue for the current quarter as high as $1.84 billion and non-GAAP gross margin between 38.5% and 40.5%. Still, investors should note that NVIDIA's $2 billion private placement is dilutive, adding risk despite NVIDIA's apparent stamp of approval. Shares of Photonics-Adjacent Nova Ltd. Are SoaringWhile Coherent and Lumentum have dominated headlines because of NVIDIA, Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ: NVMI) is a photonics-adjacent firm quietly building momentum, with shares up more than 45% YTD. Nova's metrology and process-control tools are valuable to semiconductor makers because they support production of photonic components and advanced chips. These systems are essential to manufacturing and quality control for AI hardware, so the booming AI market has been favorable for Nova's business. The company reported record full-year 2025 revenue of $881 million, up 31% YOY, and guided Q1 2026 revenue to between $222 million and $232 million. Although Nova hasn't received a major NVIDIA investment, it has gained traction with multiple unnamed semiconductor customers that have adopted its Metrion platform. Those partnerships should support revenue over the long term and help insulate Nova from cyclical swings. Of the 10 analysts covering NVMI, nine assign it a Buy rating, even though the current share price sits nearly 9% above the consensus target. Like Coherent, Nova's rally has stretched its valuation, but to a lesser extent: the company trades at roughly 60x earnings. Investors drawn to Nova may believe the company will continue to benefit from long-term partnerships as a critical player in semiconductor manufacturing. Given the significant rallies across photonics and adjacent stocks in recent months, cautious investors concerned about buying near the top may choose to wait. Both Coherent and Nova must demonstrate sustained value to major manufacturers like NVIDIA—or face a pullback if enthusiasm fades. For investors bullish on the future of photonics in AI, these names may be a reasonable place to begin further research. |
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