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Dear Reader,
On July 28, the chip stocks powering the AI boom lost more than $1 trillion in value in a single session.
Nvidia sank 5%. Memory stocks got crushed.
Wall Street blamed China. CNBC called it profit-taking.
One top analyst came closer to the truth: "2026 is looking like 1999."
My name is Alexander Green. I've been a professional investor for 40 years. I bought Apple in 1996 — a decade before the iPhone. Amazon and Netflix under $3 a share, split-adjusted.
And I was there in March 2000, when Cisco — then the most valuable company on Earth — began an 86% collapse.
Cisco investors weren't wrong about the internet. They were on the wrong side of a pattern almost nobody understands…
Every great technological revolution unfolds in two distinct phases. And when Phase 1 ends, the stocks that built the boom stop climbing — some crash and never recover.
I believe July's chip wipeout was a warning shot.
The Great AI Divide is here. And millions of Americans hold the popular AI stocks that could end up on the wrong side of it.
I recorded a private presentation that shows you the full pattern. It names the class of AI stocks I believe is now in serious danger.
Click here to watch it now — before the next leg down.
Good investing,
Alexander Green
Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club
TSMC's 44.7% Sales Surge Signals the AI Boom Is Still Alive
Authored by Sam Quirke. Article Published: 8/12/2026.
Key Points
- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company reported a 44.7% surge in monthly sales, signaling that AI chip demand remains strong despite recent investor doubts.
- As the dominant manufacturer of advanced chips for customers like NVIDIA and Apple, TSMC's sales serve as an early, reliable barometer of overall AI demand.
- TSMC raised its capital expenditure guidance to $60 to $64 billion, reflecting soaring orders but leaving little room for error if demand weakens.
- Special Report: Forget SpaceX. Buy the company Musk can't replace.
While much of the market frets over whether the artificial intelligence boom can live up to the hype, one company keeps quietly answering that question with its results. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (NYSE: TSM), the contract chipmaker that physically builds the advanced processors powering nearly the entire AI revolution, kicked off this week with a monster 44.7% surge in monthly sales.
The timing could hardly have been better. With the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX) recently shedding as much as 30% amid fears that the AI boom was cooling, TSMC's sharp revenue jump was a reminder that the doubters may have moved too soon.
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Marc Chaikin, founder of Chaikin Analytics, says two forces - AI disruption and fracturing global trade - are triggering a historic wealth transfer already underway in 2026. Household names like Intuit (-57%), Boston Scientific (-49%), and Tractor Supply (-40%) are cratering, while lesser-known companies like Sandisk (+573%) and Rackspace (+444%) surge.
Chaikin has identified specific stocks he believes investors should sell before they fall further - and the names may surprise you. He's also pinpointing a company tapped as Nvidia's self-driving partner and a potential AI megadeal that could split into three high-growth stocks.
Stream his free presentation to get every buy and sell recommendation with no membership or credit card required.
Watch Marc Chaikin's free presentation and get his full buy-and-sell list todayThough TSMC is a business at the very heart of the technology supply chain, these figures matter far beyond the company itself.
If the linchpin of the entire AI trade is still growing this quickly, it offers a powerful signal about the health of the broader theme and raises the question of whether TSMC itself is the smartest way to play it.
The World's Most Important Barometer
To understand why these monthly sales figures matter so much, you have to appreciate the unique position TSMC occupies. It's the dominant manufacturer of the world's most advanced chips, the company that the likes of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) rely on to produce their designs. Take any cutting-edge AI chip, and the odds are overwhelming that TSMC made it.
That makes its sales numbers something close to a real-time health check on the entire AI trade. When demand for AI chips is booming, it shows up in TSMC's revenue almost immediately, well before it reaches the quarterly results of its many customers. In effect, the company offers an early and unusually reliable read on whether the AI buildout is accelerating.
Right now, the message could hardly be clearer. After a rocky spell for chip stocks driven by fears that AI demand was peaking, the market has received about as direct a signal as it could hope for that the demand underpinning the entire AI story remains firmly intact.
Why TSMC Remains a Compelling Way to Play AI
For investors who believe in the AI story but are wary of betting on any single chip designer, TSMC offers a rare kind of exposure. Because nearly every advanced AI processor on the market is built in its factories, the company profits no matter which of its customers ultimately wins the race, sidestepping the risk of picking the wrong horse.
That advantage is underpinned by strong visibility. TSMC has considerable insight into its future order book, with demand for its most advanced manufacturing processes stretching years ahead as customers scramble to lock in capacity. That confidence in the road ahead recently prompted management to raise its growth forecast for the year—not just once, but twice.
The Case for Caution
None of this makes the stock a one-way bet. The chief concern among the bears is the sheer scale of what TSMC is spending to keep up with demand. That concern was underlined by management's decision last month to lift full-year capital expenditure guidance to a range of $60 billion to $64 billion, up from a prior range of $52 billion to $56 billion. That represents roughly a 15% increase at the midpoint—a colossal sum to commit to building out new manufacturing capacity.
The logic behind the spending is sound enough, since that capacity is needed to meet soaring orders. As long as demand holds up and the growth trajectory remains steady, TSMC should be able to thread the needle. The trouble is that it leaves precious little room for any wobble. Put another way, if NVIDIA or Apple so much as sneezes, TSMC could catch a full-blown cold.
Where That Leaves the Stock
So how should investors weigh it all up? The bulls will point out, with justification, that TSMC is an irreplaceable company at the epicenter of the most powerful growth trend of the age, still expanding rapidly with clear visibility into further growth.
The bears will counter that a stock that has already rallied significantly and is now spending vast sums to keep pace with demand leaves little room for error should that demand so much as flinch.
Perhaps the most useful takeaway, though, transcends the question of whether to buy the stock today.
TSMC's latest sales numbers are a powerful, real-time confirmation that the AI boom remains very much alive. For anyone invested in that broader theme, that may be the most reassuring signal of all.
Rocket Lab Lands a Wave of Contracts Ahead of Earnings
Authored by Ryan Hasson. Article Published: 8/6/2026.
Key Points
- Rocket Lab secured three major contracts in under two weeks, including a $397 million Space Force award and a record $266 million launch deal, ahead of its Aug. 10 earnings report.
- Investors should watch for updates on revenue growth, backlog size, and the Neutron rocket's development timeline, which remains on track for a fourth-quarter 2026 debut.
- Despite a more than 50% drop from its May high and a rich valuation exceeding 70 times trailing sales, analysts maintain a Moderate Buy rating with 48% implied upside.
- Special Report: Forget SpaceX. Buy the company Musk can't replace.
Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) has spent the past two weeks doing exactly what a company wants to do heading into an earnings report: winning business. After a brutal correction that saw the stock fall more than 50% from its May high, a rapid succession of major contract awards has put the spotlight back on the fundamentals. The stock jumped 5.75% on Tuesday to close at $74.48, and with Q2 results due Aug. 10, the timing of these wins could hardly be better.
A $397 Million Space Force Award
The largest of the recent wins landed Monday. Rocket Lab announced a $397 million contract from the U.S. Space Force under the Space-Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator, or SB-AMTI, program. The award was part of a larger $615 million allocation split among three companies, with Rocket Lab taking the lion's share.
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Click here to learn this company's name for free todayUnder the deal, the company will develop, launch and operate multiple next-generation "Flatellites", flat satellites optimized for large constellations that will carry space-based sensors designed to detect and track airborne threats in real time. Critically, those satellites will fly on Rocket Lab's upcoming Neutron rocket, adding a marquee national security customer to Neutron's manifest before the vehicle has even flown.
A Record $266 Million Launch Contract
Just days earlier, on July 27, Rocket Lab secured what it called the largest launch contract in company history: a $266 million agreement with the U.S. Space Force for 12 dedicated suborbital launches supporting missile defense, with options for six more.
The missions will primarily fly from Rocket Lab's new Pacific Spaceport Complex in Kodiak, Alaska, expanding the company's growing launch footprint. The agreement is a powerful signal of the government's confidence in Rocket Lab's ability to deliver responsive, high-cadence launch capability for urgent national security needs.
A Commercial Win, Too
The momentum has not been limited to defense. On July 30, Rocket Lab announced a multi-launch deal with Japanese Earth-imaging company iQPS for three dedicated Electron missions. The agreement underscores the continued strength of Rocket Lab's core Electron business, which remains the world's second-most-active launch vehicle, even as the company pushes into larger and more strategic programs.
Together, these three awards in under two weeks reinforce that the business is winning across commercial, civil and national security markets simultaneously.
What to Watch on Aug. 10
With the contract news setting a positive tone, attention now turns to the Q2 report. Investors should focus on several things. First, revenue compared with guidance. Rocket Lab posted record Q1 revenue of $200.35 million, up 63.5% year over year, and the market will want to see that growth trajectory continue. Second, backlog. The figure stood at a record $2.2 billion last quarter, and the recent contract haul should push it meaningfully higher, making this one of the clearest reasons to tune in.
Third, and most important, Neutron. The medium-lift rocket remains on target for its debut in the fourth quarter of 2026, and CEO Peter Beck has cited flight hardware reaching the test stands as the key marker of progress. Any update on that timeline could move the stock.
Finally, investors will want commentary on the pending $8 billion Iridium acquisition, which is expected to close in mid-2027 and would transform Rocket Lab into a vertically integrated space company with a recurring-revenue satellite network.
The Setup Into the Print
The backdrop remains a study in contrasts. While the stock is back in positive territory for the year, it remains below a flattening 200-day simple moving average. The new area of support the bulls will need to defend is July's low near $60, which has formed a major support level across higher timeframes.
Rocket Lab still trades at a rich valuation—more than 70 times trailing sales—and is not yet profitable, which is precisely why the stock corrected so sharply alongside the broader space sell-off. Yet the consensus rating among 22 analysts remains Moderate Buy, with an average price target of $110.29, implying nearly 48% upside from current levels.
The recent flurry of contract wins does not resolve the valuation debate, but it does answer the more important question of whether demand for Rocket Lab's services is real and growing. Heading into Aug. 10, the business is executing at a high level, and the order book is the proof. Now, earnings need to match the momentum.
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