54% of $1 trillion is now Joe from Ohio.
| | Hope your Christmas was great. | But while everyone was opening presents yesterday, let me show you what was actually moving markets. | Retail traders now represent 54% of 0DTE volume. | More than half of the $1 trillion in daily notional flow comes from individual investors. Joe from Ohio betting his lunch money on whether SPX goes up or down in the next two hours. | This is completely unprecedented. | Small 1-lot trades -- that's how we track retail activity -- now make up 20% of SPX 0DTE volume. That's double the 2021 levels. | Every major platform jumped in. Robinhood, Charles Schwab, E*TRADE. They made same-day options as easy to trade as buying stocks. | The problem? Most retail traders jumped in without understanding the compression of risk. | Unlike monthly options where time decay happens gradually, 0DTE contracts can lose 50% of their value in the final hour even if the underlying moves favorably. | But some traders who understand the framework are crushing it: • XSP -- 263% gain in ~3.5 hours • XSP -- 153% gain in ~5.5 hours • AAPL -- 152% gain in ~5 hours | All from trades that began and ended the same day. | The difference isn't skill. It's systematic approach vs. lottery mentality. | Earlier this week I walked through the exact framework that separates the systematic winners from the wealth transfer victims. | Watch how the framework actually works | Because while others were distracted, the market kept evolving. | And in this compressed timeframe environment, guessing kills you. | To your success, | Don Kaufman | |
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