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3 Energy Plays to Watch as the Sector Reacts to New Developments
Reported by Ryan Hasson. Publication Date: 1/6/2026.
At a Glance
- Energy stocks surged on Monday, Jan. 5, as markets reacted to renewed focus on Venezuela’s oil industry and U.S. policy direction.
- The energy sector ETF, XLE, is pressing against a multi-year resistance level, with a breakout edging closer.
- Exxon and Chevron, the two largest U.S. energy companies, are near key technical levels and remain the sector’s primary leaders and potential beneficiaries from recent developments.
The energy sector rallied sharply on Monday, Jan. 5, after reports over the weekend about renewed U.S. engagement with Venezuela's oil industry and related policy shifts. Headlines highlighted plans to re-engage U.S. companies in Venezuela's energy infrastructure, which has suffered under years of sanctions and operational constraints. While the geopolitical picture will continue to evolve, the immediate market response was clear: energy stocks moved higher and sector momentum accelerated.
Both fundamentally and technically, the energy sector is shaping up as one of the more compelling areas of the market. Long-term charts display years of consolidation alongside improving relative strength and renewed institutional interest. If momentum holds, recent developments could catalyze a breakout. Here are three ways investors can position for potential upside in energy.
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund: Broad Exposure With a Bullish Setup
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In a new briefing, a market analyst explains what this development involves, why it matters under U.S. law, and how some investors are exploring ways to position themselves early. The presentation focuses on context, implications, and what to understand before taking any action.
For investors seeking diversified exposure, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA: XLE) stands out. The ETF tracks the Energy Select Sector Index and provides broad exposure to large-cap U.S. energy companies across oil, gas, and energy equipment. Its top holdings include Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), and Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB), which together account for more than half of the fund's weighting.
The technical picture makes XLE particularly interesting. The ETF has spent several years consolidating in a wide range between roughly $40 and $50, with $50 acting as a clearly defined resistance level. Prolonged consolidation of this type often precedes larger directional moves. If XLE clears and holds above $50 in the coming weeks, it would mark a multi-year breakout and could signal a new leg higher for the broader energy sector.
XLE also offers a 3.11% dividend yield and a low expense ratio of 0.08%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking income and broad exposure without company-specific risk.
Exxon Mobil: Sector Leader Near Breakout Levels
Exxon Mobil, the largest holding in XLE with a 23.7% weighting, is already showing leadership. Shares jumped on Monday and are trading just below a major multi-year resistance level near $126. A sustained break and hold above that level would represent a significant technical breakout and could act as a tailwind for the entire sector, given Exxon's size and influence.
On the fundamentals side, Exxon provides stability and income, with a dividend yield of 3.3%. Analyst price targets are relatively conservative, but the technical setup suggests sentiment could shift quickly if a breakout is confirmed.
Historically, Exxon has participated in Venezuela's oil sector during prior periods of openness, positioning the company to take part in future activity if conditions permit.
Chevron: Best Positioned for Potential Production Upside
Chevron, the second-largest holding in XLE, may be the most directly positioned to benefit if Venezuelan production opportunities materialize. Analysts at JPMorgan have noted Chevron's significant resource base in the country, and the company has maintained operations there in compliance with applicable laws and regulations.
Chevron shares surged more than 5% on Monday and are approaching the upper end of a multi-year consolidation range between roughly $140 and $160. Holding above $160 would be an important technical development. A sustained move beyond that level could open the door to a larger breakout, with longer-term upside potential toward the $180 area.
Like Exxon, Chevron combines scale, dividend income, and improving momentum. If the broader sector continues to strengthen, CVX appears well-positioned to remain a leader.
Energy Sector Emerges From Years of Consolidation
The energy sector appears to be emerging from years of consolidation, showing improving momentum, rising relative strength, and renewed investor interest. While recent headlines prompted the initial move, the underlying technical structures suggest this could be part of a larger trend rather than a short-lived reaction. For that trend to continue, key resistance levels across XLE, Exxon Mobil, and Chevron will need to be cleared and held. If they are, the sector may be entering a new and potentially durable phase of upside.
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