Bitcoin’s Floor — Or a False Bottom?

What the four-year cycle suggests could happen next
 
   
     
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Bitcoin’s Floor — Or a False Bottom?

Hey — Nate here…

If you’ve been watching the Bitcoin charts lately, you know things have been looking a bit "chilly."

We’re officially in a crypto winter and the big question on everyone’s mind is: Has the floor fallen out, or are we just following the script?

I recently sat down with Jeffry Turnmire and Graham Lindman on Unfiltered Finance, hosted by Emily Turner, to hash out exactly where we are and, more importantly, where we’re headed.

The consensus? The worst might still be ahead of us — but that isn’t necessarily bad news if you know how to navigate the volatility.

We went deep into the mechanics of the four-year cycle and why Bitcoin continues to behave like a volatile, cyclical asset rather than a stable hedge.

Here’s a glimpse of what we covered:

📉 The Four-Year Cycle: Why the "Halvening" still dictates the psychological rhythm of the market.

🔮 Price Predictions: Jeffry shares a chart that targets a specific bounce before a potential drop to the $30K–$50K range.

🛠️ Trading Tools: How we’re using iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) options and volatility indicators to stay nimble while others are frozen.

📉 The "Suckage": My personal — and expensive — lesson on why ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) options can be "broken" and how I’ve changed my strategy.

🎢 Volatility vs. Value: Why extreme drawdowns are a feature, not a bug, of this asset class.

I’m not 100% sure we’ve seen the cycle low yet, but as Graham put it, for those in cash, the "best" may be yet to come.

 
 
Watch the Full Interview Here
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