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Sunday's Exclusive Story Amphenol Stock Dropped 17% After Earnings: Opportunity or Trap?Submitted by Nathan Reiff. First Published: 2/4/2026. 
Key Points - Amphenol shares dipped by about 17% following the company's strong fourth-quarter earnings report, potentially presenting a buy opportunity.
- Despite beating on earnings and revenue, the latest results disappointed the market due to its tepid forward guidance.
- Amphenol's recent acquisitions help to broaden its scope, but they also present cost and operational risks.
After shares rose nearly 107% over the past 12 months, electronic and fiber-optic component manufacturer Amphenol Corp. (NYSE: APH) has increasingly raised valuation concerns for investors. At the end of January, APH shares reversed course and plunged about 17% in a single day following the company's latest earnings report. While this wasn't a full reset versus a year ago, the pullback may make Amphenol more appealing to valuation-minded investors in the near term. The biggest tech investors have unloaded their top AI investments. Peter Thiel's fund dumped its entire $100 million Nvidia stake. SoftBank unloaded its entire $5.8 billion position. Perhaps the biggest signal is Berkshire Hathaway sitting on $382 billion in cash, more than Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple combined. Was this Warren Buffett's parting gift before stepping down? Four unstoppable market forces could upend the economy in the coming weeks. Any one could be devastating alone, but four at the same time would wreak havoc. The last time this played out was over 50 years ago, leading to a lost decade for stocks. Watch the interview revealing these four market forces. Is now the time to buy APH shares? A closer look at the company's recent business developments and fundamentals shows several underlying strengths that support a bullish outlook, despite some near-term headwinds. Selloff Despite Strong Fourth-Quarter Results The recent dip in APH shares came immediately after the company's fourth-quarter 2025 earnings release, despite several notable highlights. Amphenol beat analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines, reporting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97 (four cents above estimates) and revenue of $6.4 billion, up 49% year over year and roughly $250 million above forecasts. Strong sales and record orders helped drive that performance. Margin performance remains a notable strength—adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 27.5%, and the company posted a record 26.2% for the full year. Amphenol continues to execute well in IT and data center businesses, where sales more than doubled year over year. Q4 operating cash flow reached a record $5.4 billion, enabling roughly $1.5 billion in total shareholder returns. Despite those wins, investors sold shares after management provided softer-than-expected guidance for the first quarter of 2026. Q1 guidance still looks solid on a year-over-year basis, but it hinted at possible sequential declines in some areas. The fact that this quarter's earnings and revenue beats were smaller than in prior periods may have reinforced concerns about future softness. Amphenol's Acquisition Strategy Poses Rewards and Risks In January, Amphenol completed the acquisition of CommScope's (NASDAQ: COMM) connectivity and cable solutions operations. Two months earlier the company closed on its $1 billion acquisition of defense component manufacturer Trexon. Those deals help Amphenol grow its footprint and diversify its customer base across industries. Still, two significant acquisitions in quick succession introduce integration risks, potential cost pressures and higher leverage. Some investors may view the rapid expansion as overreach. As the data center and IT components market becomes more competitive, Amphenol's aggressive M&A strategy could create short-term execution challenges even if it yields long-term benefits. A Closer Look at Amphenol's Valuation Amphenol's price-to-earnings ratio sits at 43.4—one of the highest levels since the company began trading publicly. Compared with the broader market, that P/E is elevated; however, within the computer and technology sector the average P/E is 72.5, which makes APH look relatively inexpensive in that context. Other metrics temper that view. The company's price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is 1.51, suggesting expected earnings growth may not fully justify the current valuation, even though analysts forecast roughly 12% earnings growth for Amphenol over the coming year. Analysts remain largely constructive: 11 of 13 analysts rated APH a Buy in the past year. That said, the consensus price target of $151.38 is only about 4% above where the stock traded in early February, leaving limited near-term upside according to current estimates. Taken together, Amphenol likely appeals most to investors who are confident in the company's ability to continue growing—particularly in data centers—over the long term, while being comfortable with near-term valuation and integration risks. Bottom line: Amphenol combines solid fundamentals, strong margins and attractive end-market exposure with near-term risks from elevated valuation and recent acquisitions. Investors should weigh the long-term growth story against the potential for short-term volatility and execution risks when deciding whether to buy APH now.
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