Dear Reader,
As I see it…
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Elon will announce the highly coveted SpaceX IPO on March 26th.
That date is coming fast…
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The SpaceX IPO is expected to be bigger.
Much bigger…
Industry experts are calling it a "seismic event" — a $1.5 trillion valuation that could surpass the combined market caps of the six largest U.S. defense contractors.
Once that announcement hits... the window slams shut.
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Yours for peace, prosperity, and liberty, AEIOU,
Dr. Mark Skousen
Macroeconomic Strategist, The Oxford Club
P.S. Studies suggest 95% of IPO profits are made BEFORE a company goes public. The SpaceX IPO could happen less than two weeks from today. Click here now to discover how to position your money before it’s too late.
Carvana's 5-for-1 Split: Green Light for a New Growth Era
Author: Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Date Posted: 3/16/2026.
Key Points
- Carvana's decision follows record-breaking sales volume and a significant return to profitability last year.
- The stock split aims to make share ownership more psychologically accessible for retail investors and Carvana's team members.
- Wall Street analysts have a positive outlook, with consensus price targets suggesting considerable potential upside from current trading levels.
- Special Report: Have $500? Invest in Elon's AI Masterplan
Carvana's (NYSE: CVNA) board of directors recently approved its first-ever 5-for-1 forward stock split, a milestone that signals a significant new chapter for the online auto retailer. The market responded enthusiastically, with shares rising in the session following the announcement. That reception underscores a broader point: Carvana's strategic move is more than an accounting adjustment.
For a company that navigated a remarkable turnaround, the split is a confident signal. It marks a shift from a period of intense recovery to a phase focused on aggressive, forward-looking growth. Taken from a position of renewed strength, the decision offers a clearer glimpse of Carvana's priorities and what they could mean for investors.
From Brink to Breakout Performance
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Add yourself to the distribution list here.To appreciate the split's significance, consider the foundation behind it. Not long ago, Carvana faced steep operational and financial headwinds — heavy debt and questions about profitability raised serious doubts about its future. Since then, the company has engineered one of the more dramatic turnarounds in recent market memory. Through sharper execution and a successful debt restructuring, it has emerged substantially stronger.
The proof is in Carvana's 2025 financial results. The company delivered strong growth and returned to profitability, quieting many critics. Key highlights include:
- Record Sales Volume: Carvana sold 596,641 retail units, a 43% year-over-year increase.
- Surging Revenue: Full-year revenue rose to $20.3 billion, up 49% from the prior year.
- A Return to Profitability: Carvana reported a full-year net income of $1.9 billion, reversing prior losses.
The fourth quarter of 2025 was especially notable: earnings per share of $4.22 comfortably beat the analyst consensus of $1.10, demonstrating an operational engine firing on all cylinders. That financial performance provides the essential context for the stock split, framing it as a well-earned strategic move rather than a cosmetic change.
Why a Stock Split, and Why Now?
Subject to shareholder approval at the Annual Shareholder Meeting on May 5, 2026, the stock split is slated to take effect on May 6, 2026. After that date, shareholders would receive four additional shares for every share they currently own. While the share count increases fivefold, each share's price will be reduced to one-fifth of its previous value — for example, a $300 share would trade at $60 after the split. The total value of an investor's holdings is unchanged by the split itself.
The main rationale behind the move is accessibility. A lower per-share price can carry a strong psychological impact: many retail investors find a $60 stock more approachable than a $300 stock, even though underlying value is unchanged. That perception can broaden the investor base and increase participation.
Carvana's leadership emphasized that accessibility was a primary consideration. Chief Financial Officer Mark Jenkins said the stock split, the first in the company's history, was intended to keep the shares "accessible to all of our team members." Simplifying employee ownership can strengthen corporate culture and better align employees' interests with those of shareholders. Executed from a position of financial strength, the split is a deliberate, confidence-inspiring signal to the market.
Primed for a New Wave of Interest
Beyond accessibility, the split could help catalyze Carvana's next growth phase. Management has been explicit about scaling operations and capturing a larger share of the sizable used-car market — CEO Ernie Garcia has a long-term goal of selling 3 million vehicles annually.
Carvana is already taking tangible steps toward that vision. For example, it recently expanded same-day delivery into the competitive Los Angeles market, enhancing the customer value proposition and demonstrating improvements in its logistics network. A broader investor base and the added trading liquidity that often follows a split can provide a steady tailwind for a company pursuing aggressive expansion.
Carvana's stock carries a high beta of 3.60 — a measure of price volatility relative to the market. A beta above 1.0 signals greater-than-average volatility, which can attract momentum traders seeking sizable price moves. By lowering the entry price, the split could re-engage this group of investors and spur renewed trading activity and interest in the shares.
The Road Ahead: A Green Light from Analysts
Carvana's 5-for-1 stock split serves as a symbolic capstone to its turnaround, a practical tool to broaden its investor base, and a potential catalyst for the next chapter of growth. The move reflects a leadership team confident in its operational execution and financial stability, and it shifts the narrative from recovery to expansion.
That bullish tone is reflected on Wall Street. Among 25 analysts covering Carvana, the consensus rating is a Moderate Buy. The average analyst price target is $440.59, implying potential upside of roughly 46% from the stock's current trading level.
For investors, the stock split may be a clear line in the sand: a signal that Carvana considers its recovery complete and is now positioned to pursue renewed market dominance.
AeroVironment Touches Down On Value Opportunity
Author: Thomas Hughes. Date Posted: 3/12/2026.
Key Points
- AeroVironment faces near-term pressure from the SCAR contract ending, but analysts still see meaningful upside from current levels.
- AVAV’s chart suggests a possible hard bottom near $200, with key resistance levels at $225, $240, and $250.
- Strong institutional ownership and continued contract execution and scaling efforts could help restore momentum in 2026.
- Special Report: Have $500? Invest in Elon's AI Masterplan
AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV) faces headwinds in 2026, including the end of its SCAR contract and the negative sentiment that followed. Even so, despite analysts trimming targets and guidance falling short of expectations, this defense company presents value for investors willing to buy at long-term lows and wait for traction to return. The company still has a battle‑proven portfolio, a diminished but meaningful backlog, and a healthy balance sheet that supports reinvestment and potential shareholder value appreciation. The main question is timing — a rebound could happen faster than the guidance implies.
Analysts are trimming targets after the fiscal Q3 2026 update, but that is the most negative takeaway from the report.
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Add yourself to the distribution list here.The cuts were expected given the likely loss of the SCAR business, but the market has arguably overreacted.
The six revisions tracked by MarketBeat set a new low target, yet still imply upside. More importantly, the average of the revised targets still projects roughly 30% upside, with higher potential at the top end.
Other signals — including rising analyst coverage, a steady Moderate Buy rating, and an 86% Buy-side bias — point to a more constructive tone and possible catalysts ahead. If AeroVironment can regain traction and expand into commercial markets, analysts may lift price targets later in the year, which could spur bullish market activity.
AeroVironment Price Action Shows Hard Bottom at $200
While prices could move lower, downside risk for AVAV appears limited. The chart shows a technical bottom near $200, supported by price‑volume behavior and indicator divergences. The increased trading volume during sideways action since the March 2 selloff tied to the SCAR news suggests accumulation, and the divergences indicate bears are losing control.
There is a risk selling could intensify, but early signals point the other way. The recent earnings release triggered a pre‑market selloff that reversed into buying at the open. Combined with divergences in the stochastic oscillator and MACD, the chart looks "coiled" and ready to bounce. The key questions are how high a rebound may go and what will drive it.
Critical resistance levels are near $225, $240, and $250, with $250 serving as an important pivot aligned with the long‑term uptrend that broke in early March. Clearing $250 would be a bullish trigger; if price action fails there, any uptrend may be muted. In a subdued scenario the stock could top out around $280 and then trade sideways until a stronger catalyst appears. The alternative bull case — a decisive move back above the uptrend line — would be more constructive, though $280 still represents a potential near‑term ceiling.
Institutions Support AeroVironment Stock Market
Institutional activity will be a key determinant, and it was constructive heading into the release. MarketBeat data show institutions own more than 85% of the stock and have bought on balance for 10 consecutive quarters, with bullish flows continuing in early Q1 2026. It is likely they will keep buying while the stock trades at long‑term lows, which should show up in March ownership data.
AeroVironment's fiscal Q3 results disappointed relative to lofty expectations, producing top‑ and bottom‑line misses influenced by factors outside the company's control. Still, underlying performance was solid: revenue grew over 140% year‑over‑year and profitability metrics were healthy.
Guidance remained intact but was set below the very high analyst bar. The company forecasts only slightly slower growth than the roughly 135% analysts had modeled, and its profit guidance brackets consensus, suggesting management may be taking a cautious stance.
Potential catalysts for AVAV include continued integration of BlueHalo, sustained demand for drone systems, execution on the backlog, and the company's stated ability to scale production. Management is also pursuing commercial applications for its platforms, targeting industries such as inspection, precision agriculture, surveillance and tracking — efforts that could diversify revenue and drive future growth.
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