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Exclusive Article from MarketBeat.com

Why This Defense ETF Could Keep Rallying as the Iran Conflict Escalates

Submitted by Jordan Chussler. Article Published: 3/10/2026.

Key Points

Military operations are costing U.S. taxpayers nearly $1 billion per day, with incidents like the accidental downing of three U.S. F-15s by Kuwaiti friendly fire adding hundreds of millions.
In the first week of the war with Iran, the U.S. fired more than 800 Patriot interceptor missiles, totaling at least $3.2 billion in munition costs.
The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF has been outperforming the S&P 500, and bolstered by ongoing war costs, is likely to continue doing so.
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Beyond operations, unforeseen costs—like the friendly-fire incident last week in which Kuwait shot down three U.S. F-15s—have added to those expenses. Replacement costs for just those three U.S. Air Force jets are estimated at roughly $100 million each.

Meanwhile, on March 3, just days after the conflict began, President Donald Trump wrote on his social media platform Truth Social that the United States has a "virtually unlimited supply" of weapons, adding that "Wars can be fought 'forever'. "

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As a result, stocks in the aerospace and defense industry are getting a boost.

As a subsector of the industrials sector, government contractors have helped push that cohort to a year-to-date (YTD) gain of 9.55%, which ranks fourth among the S&P 500's 11 sectors.

That strong YTD performance in 2026 follows a 19.40% gain in 2025. For shareholders of the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (BATS: ITA)—formerly the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Aerospace & Defense Index Fund—the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could mean additional upside.

The World's Largest Aerospace and Defense ETF

The ITA manages more than $16 billion in assets and has a market value approaching $11 billion, making it the world's largest aerospace and defense ETF.

The ETF seeks to mirror the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, which measures the performance of the aerospace and defense portion of the U.S. equity market.

That index includes companies that manufacture, assemble, and distribute military aircraft and aircraft parts, radar equipment, drones and counter-drone technology, as well as other weapons and defense systems.

So far this year, the fund has gained nearly 8% compared with the S&P 500's loss of 2.22%. Much of that interest is directly attributable to the defense contractors that make up the ITA's holdings, many of which have become household names over the past few decades.

A Basket of Premier Defense Contractors

The fund offers investors a diversified basket of aerospace and defense stocks that includes, by weighting, GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE); RTX (NYSE: RTX), formerly Raytheon; Boeing (NYSE: BA); Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT); Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC); L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX); and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), among its more than 41 holdings.

Individually, those stocks have shown mixed YTD performances. GE, for instance, is down 1.28% YTD while RTX is up 11.75% YTD. Boeing is down more than 2%, while Lockheed Martin is up more than 35%. On balance, gains have outweighed losses, and lagging names could catch up if the conflict extends.

Take, for example, the Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) interceptor missile, produced by Lockheed Martin. At roughly $4 million apiece, firing more than 800 interceptors in the first week of hostilities would amount to a cost of about $3.2 billion.

Meanwhile, RTX supplies guidance systems and other components for Patriot variants such as the GEM-T. A full Patriot battery system—including launchers, radar, and a control station—can cost over $1 billion, with the missiles themselves accounting for a substantial portion of that total.

As for industry exposure, nearly 92% of the ETF is directly tied to aerospace and defense, while 3.4% is in metals and mining—an area that has benefited as rare-earth elements have become a national-security priority under the Trump administration.

The companies in the ITA include some of the largest contract recipients from the U.S. federal government. Lockheed Martin, for example, received more than $65 billion in awards last year.

Currently, the U.S. Department of Defense has over $48 billion in obligations to Lockheed Martin, with more than 49% earmarked for the Department of the Navy, nearly 24% for the U.S. Army, more than 20% for the Air Force, and nearly 3% for the Missile Defense Agency.

How Wall Street Feels About the ITA

Based on 395 analyst ratings issued over the past 12 months covering 24 companies in the ITA's holdings, the fund carries a Moderate Buy rating.

Fueled by the administration's hawkish foreign-policy stance, the ITA has been particularly attractive to institutional investors. Institutional holders have increased their positions by more than $3 billion over the past 12 months, while the fund has seen total outflows of just over $613 million.

Exclusive Article from MarketBeat.com

3 Non-Tech Stocks in TradeSmith's Green Zone for Financial Health

Submitted by Jordan Chussler. Article Published: 3/9/2026.

Key Points

As energy leads the market this year, shares of ExxonMobil are up 26% and its earnings are forecast to rise 21% over the next year.
Analysts believe Citigroup, which hasn’t missed earnings since Q4 2022, should see share appreciation of 17% over the next 12 months.
Renewable energy utility company NextEra Energy’s financial health is so robust, its annualized five-year dividend growth rate stands at 10.15%.
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When evaluating stocks, investors can use many indicators to help determine fair market value, buy-sell signals, and potential future price movements.

Those include commonly referenced technical measures such as the Relative Strength Index and Bollinger Bands, alongside fundamental metrics like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, free cash flow, and return on equity.

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No matter which indicators investors prefer, they work best in combination to paint a fuller picture of a given equity. MarketBeat users can now add another tool: the TradeSmith Health Indicator, which assesses a stock's health based on price action and volatility, using the proprietary Volatility Quotient to set risk thresholds.

The result is a stoplight-style classification that marks stocks as Green (financially healthy and in a strong uptrend), Yellow (hold or watch), or Red (financially unhealthy and in a downtrend).

Backtesting suggests the indicator is effective: stocks in the Green Zone have shown more than a 23% average annualized return, while those in the Red Zone have annualized losses of about 2.5%.

Below are three stocks currently well within TradeSmith's Green Zone that investors can evaluate further alongside other indicators to see if they fit a buy-and-hold strategy.

ExxonMobil: +6 Months in the TradeSmith Green Zone

After years of lagging the market, the energy sector is outperforming the S&P 500, leading all 11 sectors with a year-to-date (YTD) gain of nearly 26% versus the index's YTD loss of 0.4%. Part of that strength has been driven by oil major ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), whose shares have gained nearly 23% YTD.

Its forward P/E ratio of roughly 20 is lower than the broad S&P 500's P/E of 28 and is an improvement on its trailing 12-month (TTM) P/E of 22, suggesting that despite a nearly 43% gain over the past year, shareholders may see more earnings per dollar invested in the coming year.

That is an attractive value proposition for a company that has beaten analyst expectations for earnings per share (EPS) in six of the last seven quarters. ExxonMobil's earnings are expected to grow more than 21% next year, from $7.43 to $9.02 per share.

Supporting ExxonMobil's financial health, the company has averaged gross margins of 32.75% over the past 10 years. Over the same period, its average annual debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio is just 0.22 (for context, a D/E below 1 generally indicates conservative financing and greater stability). In practical terms, over the past decade ExxonMobil has carried about $0.22 of debt for every dollar of shareholder equity.

Citigroup: +8 Months in the TradeSmith Green Zone

Global financial services firm Citigroup (NYSE: C) has been in TradeSmith's Green Zone since last July. Its forward P/E of 14.45 improves on its TTM P/E of 15.62, both lower than the broader market multiples.

The stock is down more than 8% in 2026 as the financials sector has struggled, posting a nearly 6% YTD loss—the worst among the S&P 500 sectors.

Analysts nonetheless see upside: the average 12-month price target is $127.25, implying roughly 17% upside from today's price. That bullish view is reflected in MarketRank™ analysis, where Citigroup scores higher than 97% of companies evaluated by MarketBeat and ranks second among 62 stocks in the financial services sector.

Those strong rankings rest on solid fundamentals, including a streak of earnings beats: Citigroup has surpassed analyst expectations in 11 of the past 12 quarters since Q1 2023. Analysts expect earnings to grow about 25.5% next year, from $7.53 to $9.45 per share.

Over the past 10 years, Citigroup has had only one year of net income contraction and has averaged annualized profits of $10.8 billion.

NextEra Energy: +5 Months in the TradeSmith Green Zone

With a nearly 13% YTD gain, NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE)—a regulated utility operator and competitive renewable energy generator—has been securely in TradeSmith's Green Zone since late last year.

The company's forward P/E of 24.51 improves on its TTM P/E of 27.42, and analysts rate the stock a Moderate Buy. NextEra's earnings are expected to rise about 7.6% next year, from $3.68 to $3.96 per share.

One factor that supports the TradeSmith health assessment is NextEra's dividend, which yields 2.73% and has an annualized five-year growth rate of 10.15%.

The company has achieved that dividend growth through substantial cash-flow expansion. Over the past decade, NextEra's net cash from operating activities rose from $6.36 billion in 2016 to $12.48 billion in 2025—an increase of more than 96%. During the same period, net income grew from $2.9 billion to $6.83 billion, an increase of over 135%.

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