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Why It's Not Time to Give Up on the Gold Trade
Reported by Chris Markoch. Originally Published: 3/28/2026.
Key Points
- Gold’s recent pullback reflects a stronger U.S. dollar and profit-taking, but long-term fundamentals still point to higher prices.
- The U.S. fiscal outlook, including a $42 trillion net deficit and rising Treasury yields, strengthens the case for gold as a hedge.
- Investors can gain exposure through GLD for direct price tracking, GDX for leveraged upside, or Newmont for income and stability.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
What's going on with gold? After surging above $5,000, gold has retreated roughly 20%. A pullback after such a strong move isn't surprising, but it does raise the question: why? The conventional explanation is a stronger U.S. dollar. Despite its own debt challenges (more on that below), the U.S. economy remains the safest option in a strained global landscape, and much of international commerce is still denominated in dollars.
Because the dollar and gold often move in opposite directions, a firmer dollar would naturally push gold lower. That explanation has merit. It's also likely that many speculators who joined the rally decided to take profits as prices peaked.
Major U.S. Gov't Gold Announcement Coming April 15? (Ad)
A former Pentagon and CIA advisor is flagging April 15 as a critical date for gold investors. He says the U.S. government is set to grant final authorization for mining operations at what he believes is the largest gold deposit in the world.
The company behind it trades at just $2 per share and has largely flown under the radar. He believes early investors positioned before the announcement stand to benefit most.
View his full analysis and see the details behind this gold playIt's unwise to try to predict precisely where gold will be next week or next month, let alone one or five years from now. Still, the longer-term trend for gold and many basic materials looks constructive — and the evidence for that comes straight from the federal government.
U.S. Debt Strengthens Gold's Long-Term Case
In March 2026, the U.S. government published the "Financial Report of the United States Government for fiscal year 2025." This annual Treasury report details what the country owns and what it owes.
This year's report shows assets of about $6 trillion versus liabilities of nearly $48 trillion. By that accounting, the U.S. has a negative net worth of roughly $42 trillion — the largest such shortfall on record.
You don't need to be an accountant to see the problem. And the picture is worse because the report excludes long-term, unfunded obligations such as Social Security.
Compounding the issue are higher yields on the 10-year Treasury note; it stood near 4.34% as of March 25. That level has persisted for the past two years, but there's an important change in behavior: in prior crises the world would rush into U.S. Treasuries as a safe haven. That dynamic appears muted today.
Now consider that the United States is seeking emergency funding of about $200 billion for operations related to Iran. If the conflict continues, that could be only a down payment. If the Treasury lacks sufficient revenue, more borrowing or money creation could follow, raising inflation — a scenario that is typically bullish for gold.
Gold's Role Is Wealth Preservation, Not Growth
As noted, one reason gold has pulled back is profit-taking by speculators. That is understandable, and Warren Buffett's quip that gold is "just a metal" is a useful reminder: gold is primarily a store of value rather than a growth investment.
Many gold holders would prefer not to own it if the world were perfectly stable. But as the U.S. government's own report suggests, the world is not perfect. Gold functions as insurance against fiscal, monetary and geopolitical risks.
Gold has its detractors, yet even Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) recently suggested investors could allocate as much as 20% of a traditional portfolio to gold. You don't have to own physical bullion to get exposure — here are three practical options.
GLD ETF: A Simple Way to Track Gold Prices
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSE: GLD) tracks the price of physical gold bullion held in vaults, offering direct exposure without the inconvenience of storage. With an expense ratio of 0.40%, it provides liquidity and ease of integration into portfolios.
GLD can suit conservative investors seeking a hedge against inflation and dollar weakness, especially in light of recent U.S. debt concerns. However, shares represent "paper gold," so investors should consider counterparty and operational risks if they plan to hold through systemic crises.
GDX ETF: Leveraged Exposure to Gold's Upside
If gold embarks on a sustained rally, gold mining stocks can amplify the gains because miners' profits tend to rise faster than the metal's price. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) offers diversified exposure to major gold producers, capturing that operational leverage. Its expense ratio of 0.51% balances cost with broad sector coverage.
GDX is better suited for investors seeking higher upside potential and willing to accept greater volatility — for example, those positioning for geopolitical risks or rising inflationary pressure.
Newmont: Income and Stability in a Volatile Market
Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM), the world's largest gold producer, provides direct equity exposure to established reserves and steady production. After the recent pullback, valuation metrics look more attractive, and Newmont benefits from scale, cost efficiencies and a dividend yield of roughly 1%.
For investors who want to combine income with gold's safe-haven characteristics, a leading producer like Newmont can be a core holding within a diversified portfolio.
Unity Soars After Axing a Business, Here's Why
Written by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Posted: 3/31/2026.
Key Points
- Unity Software’s strategic pivot to exit non-core ad businesses has created a simpler, more focused investment thesis for Wall Street to rally behind.
- Unity’s core game engine and its AI-powered ad platform create a powerful flywheel effect that reinforces growth and strengthens its competitive moat.
- Unity is doubling down on its AI-powered Vector ad platform, which is showing exceptional growth and is set to become an even larger driver of future revenue.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
A clear message arrived on Wall Street last week, and it centered on Unity Software (NYSE: U). On March 27, the stock jumped more than 13% in a single session, driven by a surge in trading volume to 53.95 million shares—more than triple the daily average. Such a decisive breakout rarely happens by accident; it shows strong investor conviction in the company's new direction.
The rally was sparked by a combination of better-than-expected preliminary first-quarter 2026 results and a consequential strategic announcement. The market's positive reaction indicates investors aren't just cheering strong numbers; they're responding to a clearer, more focused plan for profitable growth.
Clarity, Quality, and a Stronger Bottom Line
Major U.S. Gov't Gold Announcement Coming April 15? (Ad)
A former Pentagon and CIA advisor is flagging April 15 as a critical date for gold investors. He says the U.S. government is set to grant final authorization for mining operations at what he believes is the largest gold deposit in the world.
The company behind it trades at just $2 per share and has largely flown under the radar. He believes early investors positioned before the announcement stand to benefit most.
View his full analysis and see the details behind this gold playThe immediate catalyst was a preliminary Q1 report that exceeded expectations. Unity now anticipates revenue of $505 million to $508 million, well above prior guidance of $480 million to $490 million. More notably, adjusted EBITDA — a key profitability metric that excludes certain non-cash items — is now forecast at $130 million to $135 million, versus the earlier $105 million to $110 million estimate. That sizable beat signals improving operational efficiency.
But the bigger story is the accompanying strategic move. Unity announced it will exit its non-strategic ad businesses, primarily the legacy ironSource ad network. This isn't a retreat from advertising; it's a deliberate exchange of lower-quality, commoditized revenue for higher-quality, differentiated revenue tied to its fast-growing Vector AI platform.
For several quarters, the drag from the declining legacy ad business had obscured the strong growth of Unity's core services in its financial results. By shedding this underperforming unit—which is expected to represent less than 6% of total revenue—Unity's true growth trajectory becomes much clearer. That simplification removes a major source of uncertainty, and investors are rewarding the clarity.
How Unity Is Building a Competitive Fortress
With underperforming assets being shed, investors can focus on the company's two core pillars. Each is strong on its own, and together they create mutually reinforcing advantages that will be difficult for competitors to replicate.
Pillar 1: The Resurgent Create Solutions
The heart of Unity — its game engine and Create offerings — is not only stable but accelerating. In the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings report, the Create segment grew 16% year-over-year (excluding non-strategic revenue), its fastest pace in over two years. Rapid adoption of Unity 6 shows the developer community remains highly engaged, which is a leading indicator of future revenue across the Unity ecosystem.
Pillar 2: Vector, The AI-Powered Growth Engine
Vector is the standout in Unity's Grow segment and the main reason the company is doubling down on advertising. Unlike a conventional ad network that simply matches ads to inventory, Vector uses sophisticated AI to predict which users are most likely to install and meaningfully engage with a game—delivering a higher return on ad spend for developers. The performance metrics are compelling:
- Vector delivered its third consecutive quarter of mid-teen sequential growth in Q4 2025.
- January 2026 revenue was up roughly 70% year over year.
- The platform is on a clear path to exceed a $1 billion annual run rate by the end of 2026.
The Flywheel Effect: Unity's Competitive Moat
This strategic pivot is more than a cleanup; it's about unlocking a powerful flywheel. Unity plans to integrate unique runtime data and behavioral signals from games built with the Create engine directly into the Vector AI model in the second quarter. In a privacy-focused world, first-party data of this kind is a major advantage. It will feed Vector with rich insights into player behavior—data competitors can't easily access—leading to smarter predictions, better ad targeting, higher returns for developers, and more high-margin revenue for Unity. The result is a self-reinforcing flywheel: a stronger engine creates better data, which makes the ad platform smarter, which in turn attracts more developers to the engine.
A New Chapter for Unity Stock
Unity's stock surge is a clear endorsement of a simpler, more focused strategy. The business is easier to understand, its growth drivers are more visible, and the path to sustained profitability is clearer. Wall Street has taken note: the consensus Moderate Buy rating is supported by an average analyst price target of $37.41, implying meaningful upside from current levels.
Analysts at firms such as Morgan Stanley have already raised their price targets in response to the news, reflecting confidence in the company's new direction. The key now is execution. Investors should watch for the successful integration of runtime data into Vector in the coming quarter and for continued margin expansion.
If Unity can deliver on the promise of its synergistic flywheel, the recent rally may be the start of a sustained upward trajectory for the stock.
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