(While Everything Else Dies)
| | | Hey there, Garret Baldwin here. | The fastest rate hike cycle since the 1980s should have killed tech stocks. Instead, the Mag 7 went to the moon while everything else got crushed. | | | | Here's why - and how to position for what comes next. | The Great Divergence | Since March 2022, the Fed rocketed rates from zero to 4.25%. REITs got slammed. Regional banks imploded. Small caps bled out. But Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Meta and Tesla? | Different planets. | Strip out the Mag 7, and most investors would be flat or negative for two years. These seven stocks ARE the S&P 500's gains. | Why Cash is King | The reason is simple math. They have hundreds of billions in cash. They don't need to borrow. Higher debt costs are irrelevant when you're sitting on a fortress balance sheet earning 5.5% on cash while your competitors scramble for financing. | The Sorting Mechanism | But here's the deeper game: rates became a sorting mechanism, not a market killer. | The bottom 493 S&P stocks? | Crushed by borrowing costs and slowing growth. | Double hit - expenses up, revenues down. Meanwhile, AI growth narratives continue running well above GDP. | Nvidia's earnings estimates exploded in 18 months while industrial companies fight for survival. | Gravitational Force in Action | This creates what I call gravitational force. | In volatile times, money crowds into "safe growth." The cash-rich tech giants with AI exposure become the only game in town. | I track this through my FNGD system - it predicted the English guilt crisis, Silicon Valley banking crisis, and every major leverage unwind since 2022. | Right now, it's telling us the strength remains concentrated in Mag 7 while 40% of Russell 2000 companies are unprofitable. | Your Trading Playbook | Your playbook depends on what happens next. | If rates fall, the rest of the market can finally breathe. Russell 2000 rotation becomes the trade. Small caps, industrials, cyclicals - they get oxygen again. | If rates stay high, this sorting mechanism continues. Mag 7 keeps pulling indices higher while everything else suffocates. | Tomorrow's CPI won't touch the Mag 7 - they're insulated. But it'll move everything else. | Watch the Russell's reaction. | That's your tell for whether the great rotation finally begins or if we stay in this bifurcated market for months ahead. | The math is brutal: cash-rich AI companies versus debt-loaded everything else. | Position accordingly. | Stay positive, | Garrett Baldwin | P.S. Make sure to join me live tomorrow at 8:45 AM ET, where I'll dissect the upcoming CPI data release and help you find real-time trading opportunities. | | | | | "Someone Knew" About $35.97M in 48 Hours | While ALAB exploded 2,200% and NBIS delivered $4.3M returns, retail traders got blindsided again. | But smart money left footprints BEFORE every move: • $1.6M bet → $35.97M (ALAB) • $679K bet → $4.3M (NBIS) • $62K "lottery ticket" → $2.7M (TTD) | | | | The surveillance console detected ALL of these BEFORE they happened. | Stop trading blind. Start following the institutional footprints that matter. | WATCH THE VIDEO | See exactly how the surveillance system spotted these million-dollar moves before anyone else knew. | | | |
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