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This Week's Featured Article
After 15% L3Harris Price Drop, Is It Time to Buy or Time to Fly?Written by Thomas Hughes. Originally Published: 5/2/2026. 
Key Points
- L3Harris is pulling back into a buying opportunity with MACD convergence pointing to another fresh high.
- Record backlogs, positive book-to-bill, and widening margins underpin the rally.
- Near-term headwinds may deepen the pullback before the rebound begins.
- Special Report: The Biggest IPO Ever: Claim Your Stake Today
L3Harris' (NYSE: LHX) share price corrected more than 15% in March and April, raising questions about its near-term outlook. While short-term headwinds, investor concern, and market mechanics contributed to the pullback, the most likely outcome is that this weakness represents a buying opportunity. The recent Q1 results reaffirmed a strong outlook and the potential to unlock additional value. Management is already planning to divest about 60% of its non-core Space assets and is tracking toward a spin-off of its missile business.
Elon Musk's team has quietly filed confidential paperwork with the SEC for what Bloomberg estimates could be a $1.75 trillion IPO - larger than Saudi Aramco and any tech offering in history.
CNBC calls it 'the big market event of 2026.' According to former tech executive and angel investor Jeff Brown, there's a way to claim a stake before the public filing drops, starting with as little as $500. See how to get positioned in SpaceX before the announcement goes public
LHX is shifting away from lower-margin activities to create pure-play, stand-alone companies with sharper focus while capitalizing on strong demand and government support. Meanwhile, business trends remain healthy, backlog is at record levels, and the company looks positioned to sustain growth for the foreseeable future. LHX Stock Price Gained Momentum in Q1: Higher Prices ComingThe chart action tells a bullish story. The monthly price history shows strength over several years, a fresh all-time high and a subsequent pullback. Indicators such as MACD convergence suggest the decline is a normal market mechanic that could precede at least a retest of critical resistance. In that scenario, LHX's share price could set another fresh high; the remaining questions are timing and magnitude. 
That said, the selloff could deepen before a rebound. The monthly chart shows long-term strength, but the weekly and daily charts are less constructive. Those shorter-term charts suggest the stock could drop another $20 to $40 before finding solid support. A critical support level in early May sits at $318; a move below that could trigger additional selling. Short interest is a modest concern. It rose from historical lows in early 2025 and has remained elevated into early Q2 2026, but at under 2% the increase is marginal. This pattern looks more like hedging than outright bearish conviction — a bit of good news could prompt short-covering and help establish a bottom. Institutional activity is another factor for near-term price action. Institutional investors own roughly 85% of the shares and bought on balance over the trailing 12 months, but they shifted to distribution in Q1 and early Q2 2026. That selling pressure makes it harder for the stock to break out; the catalyst that gets institutions back to buying will likely also spark a short-covering rally, and an upcoming earnings report is a plausible trigger. L3Harris Has Catalysts: Market in Wait-and-See ModeL3Harris reported a solid Q1, with revenue up 11.8% driven by strength across all segments. Revenue beat consensus by about 530 basis points, supported by a 15% organic increase, higher volume and ramping demand. Segment performance was led by Space & Mission Systems (+24%) and Missile Systems (nearly +18%). Communications was the lone weaker area, growing about 2.5%. Margins were a highlight: segment margin improved about 10 basis points (bps) and operating margin expanded by roughly 120 bps, which helped drive meaningful bottom-line gains. GAAP EPS of $2.72 rose 33% year over year and comfortably beat expectations, suggesting management's forward guidance may be conservative. Management left revenue guidance unchanged but raised the low end of EPS guidance to $11.40, a $0.10 improvement. That guidance still landed slightly below consensus, which prompted some bullish analysts to adopt a wait-and-see stance. Commentary around the quarter mixed praise for outperformance with caution about execution risks tied to the planned spin-offs and potential DoD budget constraints. Despite the caution, analyst sentiment is generally positive. MarketBeat's tracked data shows a consensus rating of Moderate Buy among 17 analysts, a 76% Buy-side bias, no Sell ratings, and an upward trend in price targets. The consensus implies nearly 10% upside from early-May support levels, while higher-end targets — including a recent high of $418 — would put the stock at a new all-time high. Risks include potential reductions in capital returns if production or program execution falters. Recent executive orders and heightened DoD scrutiny could increase downside if the company misses milestones or encounters budget overruns. For now, LHX reduced its share count slightly in Q1 and its dividend yields about 1.6% at recent prices. Given the margin improvement in Q1, the company appears positioned to continue its track record of dividend growth by year-end. |
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