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Waiting for the Setup
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On the chart below, you can see that SLV has been on quite a ride.
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Having traded above $80 in May, it fell sharply over the following two months before bottoming around $50 in July. From there, momentum steadily built, as we can see in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). SLV rallied back above $60 by late August.
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Check out the chart:
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iShares Silver Trust (SLV)
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Source: eSignal
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But rather than chase that rally, we waited. SLV pulled back through the first half of September as buying momentum waned.
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That eventually brought it back to its 50-day moving average (MA, blue line) around the $56 level. MAs are something I watch closely as they can act as both support and resistance.
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The other thing I kept close tabs on was the RSI. Despite pulling back, the RSI held around the 50 level. And with momentum and price both holding support, we were looking for momentum to turn higher as confirmation that buyers were stepping back in.
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So we bought a call option to capture an anticipated rebound. (A call option typically increases in price when the underlying stock rallies.) That call option cost us $3.10, which equates to $310, as an option contract is for 100 shares.
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And the response came quickly enough…
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Tune in to Trading With Larry Live 
Each week, Market Wizard Larry Benedict goes live to share his thoughts on what’s impacting the markets. Whether you’re a novice or expert trader, you won’t want to miss Larry’s insights and analysis. Even better, it’s free to watch. Visit us on YouTube to catch the latest! |
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Booking a Quick 21% Gain
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SLV rallied off its 50-day MA and pushed back toward the $60 level. Given silver’s volatility, we sold our call option just three days later for $3.75 (or $375 per contract) – a quick 21% gain.
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The important takeaway: We weren’t trying to predict SLV’s next high, or where it would trade a month or two out. Instead, we waited patiently for a pullback after the initial rally. We identified a setup where price and momentum were giving us clues that buyers were starting to re-enter the market.
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There’s no point in being greedy. Once we got the move we were looking for, we took our profit off the table so we could get ready for our next opportunity.
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To be clear, because options use leverage, they magnify both profits and losses. And because options expire, timing matters.
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But when the setup is right, they can turn a modest move in the stock into a sizable return, as this trade did. We didn’t need SLV to make an enormous move. We just needed to identify the right setup and be ready when it arrived.
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And with that money banked, we’re ready for our next trade.
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Happy Trading,
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Larry Benedict
Editor, Trading With Larry Benedict
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