Volatility is off the charts. I'm not picking sides. I'm picking off setups where the structure is screaming. Just wrapped my segment — walking through all three plays right now.
| | I just got off air with Schwab, and I had to get this out immediately. | The market's in full volatility mode right now. | Up 300. Down 400. Back up 200. | And here's the thing — in this kind of environment, you don't need to be bullish or bearish. | You just need to be positioned. | I walked through three setups on air today that are setting up for violent moves — regardless of where the broader market goes. | Let me give you the breakdown: | Setup #1: The Four-Week Bloodbath That's About to Bounce (Then Roll Over) | This one's been absolutely pummeled. | Four consecutive weeks of unrelenting selling. No bounces. No relief rallies. Just straight down. | And that's exactly why I'm interested. | Here's what nobody's talking about: this thing is so oversold right now that a snapback is almost guaranteed in the near term. | But I'm not playing the bounce. | I'm playing the fade after the bounce. | Because the trend here is crystal clear. This isn't a reversal — it's a breather before the next leg down. | I'm using a defined-risk put spread with April 17 expiration. Minimal risk. Maximum positioning for the next drop. | If you see this one bounce over the next few days, don't chase it. Fade it. | Setup #2: The Beaten-Down Name That's Overdue for a Snapback | This one's ugly. | Relentless sell-side pressure. Shorts piling in. Can't get off the mat. | And that's exactly why I'm on the buy side here. | Look, I'm not turning bullish on this name long-term. But short-term? This thing is so oversold that a relief rally is practically guaranteed. | The fundamentals don't matter right now. The technicals are screaming for a bounce. | I'm playing this with an April 10 call spread — shallow duration, defined risk, positioned for a quick pop. | This isn't a trend trade. It's a reversion trade. I'm looking for the snap, then I'm out. | Setup #3: The One That Can't Catch a Bid (Even When Everything Else Is Rallying) | This morning, the S&P was up 70-75 points. | And this stock? Flat. Dead. No bid under it at all. | That's a really bad sign. | This one's caught in the SaaS massacre — and it's showing zero signs of life. | When the entire market rallies and you can't even get a sympathy bounce? That's structural weakness. | I'm identifying setups where the structure is obvious once you strip away the noise. | A four-week selloff that's due for a bounce? That's not a buy. That's a fade setup. | An oversold name with shorts piling in? That's not capitulation. That's a reflexive bounce. | A stock that can't catch a bid when everything else rallies? That's not consolidation. That's structural weakness. | The volatility is here. The setups are here. And I just walked through all three on Schwab. | ⇒ WATCH THE FULL BREAKDOWN HERE | Don't blame the messenger. | To your success, | Don Kaufman | P.S. Yesterday I went live and dropped 3 Superfly trades. Two of them returned triple-digits this morning. Still not sure about Superfly? Check this out. | | |
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