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Where's the Bottom, and When Will It Be Time to Sell D-Wave?
Author: Nathan Reiff. First Published: 3/23/2026.
Key Points
- D-Wave Quantum shares are down about 44% since the start of the year, though the company's RSI is near 30, suggesting it may be oversold.
- At the same time, the firm's price remains significantly elevated relative to its sales, which are still quite low in absolute terms.
- Investors must try to reconcile these concerns while also trying to ascertain how much farther shares may fall in the current selloff.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
By several measures, quantum computing leader D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) has had a strong start to 2026. The most notable metric: in January alone its bookings exceeded those of all of 2025, driven largely by a $10 million deal with a Fortune 100 company and a system sale worth about $20 million. At the same time, the company's cash reserves remain robust as D-Wave positions itself as a company pursuing multiple technological approaches.
Still, QBTS stock has struggled: shares are down roughly 44% so far in 2026, despite promising company news. Holders are wondering where the bottom might be, while prospective buyers may be weighing whether to wait for a better entry. Although it's impossible to predict the exact low, examining D-Wave's operating runway can help frame the dilution risk for now.
Just How Rational Is the D-Wave Selloff?
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Click Here to See how to Get Your "SpaceX Access Code"At first glance, the selloff looks contradictory given some strong fundamentals and encouraging details in the company's latest earnings report. There are, however, rational reasons investors might be selling.
D-Wave has seen rapid sales growth—revenue nearly tripled year over year in the most recent period. Yet in absolute terms revenue remains small, below $25 million annually, especially for a company with a market value approaching $6 billion. Coupled with a massive rally through much of early 2025, the share price has become highly inflated relative to sales.
The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio peaked near 327 last year, and even after the drop QBTS still trades at more than 237 times sales. That extreme valuation helps explain why some investors have been taking profits or exiting positions.
Determining the Bottom Is Tricky, But D-Wave's Cash Reserves Provide Important Insulation
Technically, D-Wave shows signs of being oversold: its relative strength index (RSI) sits around 30. Recent selling may therefore have been excessive, but an oversold reading does not guarantee the stock has found a bottom.
On the fundamental side, investors should note D-Wave's cash position, which was $885 million at the end of the last quarter. Based on recent burn rates, that suggests at least three years of operating runway even without additional revenue growth (and assuming no large acquisitions). That cushion makes a total collapse to zero unlikely in the foreseeable future and provides important insulation against further selloff pressure.
What Signs Might Investors Watch For to Sell?
Because it's hard to forecast how much further shares might fall—and given D-Wave still carries a Moderate Buy rating from Wall Street with implied upside of about 132%—investors should monitor a few key indicators.
First, changes in the company's fundamentals: if bookings slow materially, revenue growth stalls, or the cash burn rate accelerates without matching revenue improvement, those would be clear red flags.
Second, execution risks tied to new technology. D-Wave is developing a gate-model system in addition to its annealing offerings; delays or setbacks with the gate-model could further dampen investor enthusiasm.
Third, external pressures such as tariffs, supply-chain disruptions, or other macro issues could alter the calculus for how long D-Wave's cash can sustain operations and how quickly revenue can scale.
Ultimately, investors must weigh competing arguments. The company appears oversold after a steep decline, yet it remains highly valued relative to current sales. That divide likely separates traders seeking a near-term reversal back toward the 2025 rally from longer-term investors betting D-Wave will emerge as a leader in a multi-year race toward quantum computing dominance.
UiPath Fell on Good News—That Could Be the Opportunity
Authored by Thomas Hughes. Posted: 3/12/2026.
Key Points
- UiPath is on track to accelerate AI adoption, outperforming expectations and raising guidance.
- Analysts and institutional trends reflect accumulation and market support, downside is limited in 2026.
- Capital returns, specifically share buybacks, underpin a robust outlook for a stock rebound.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
UiPath (NYSE: PATH) appears positioned for a full market reversal: its March pullback looks like an overreaction to fundamentally positive news. The company's Q4 fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) results topped expectations, with 13.4% revenue growth and net income more than doubling, yet shares retreated.
Firm guidance tied to accelerating adoption of agentic AI suggests stronger growth ahead. If that adoption unfolds as management expects, rising demand should drive accelerating revenue and margin expansion in the coming quarters, producing bullish cycles and an eventual uptrend in the stock.
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Click Here to See how to Get Your "SpaceX Access Code"Technically, the chart resembles a head-and-shoulders reversal. Because the pattern is slightly skewed to the downside, the stock could enter a trading range before completing a full reversal, but a bottom appears to be in place.
Key support sits at $10.75, while resistance near $12.25 is likely to be tested — and potentially broken — soon. Over the longer term, a move above $13.50 would be a more definitive bullish signal, taking the stock above the pattern's initial shoulder and setting it up for a sustainable rally.
Market Data Reflects Support and Accumulation of PATH Stock
Analysts' reactions to the earnings report were mixed: some focused on cautious guidance and trimmed price targets, while others upgraded the stock, citing strong net-new annual recurring revenue growth, free cash flow, and the company's shift to agentic AI. This transition—from rules-based automation to reasoning AI agents that handle more complex tasks—is material for UiPath's addressable market and long-term growth profile.
Despite the mixed commentary, several indicators suggest the stock is buyable. The 18 analysts tracked by MarketBeat rate it a Hold, with a consensus price target near $15. That implies roughly 30% upside for the stock, enough to lift it back above its 150-day exponential moving average (EMA). The 150-day EMA is a key measure of sentiment for long-term holders, buy-and-hold investors, and institutions.
Institutional data is notable: institutions own more than 60% of the shares, providing a solid ownership base and continued accumulation during 2026. Activity has skewed bullish for three consecutive quarters, with total activity and buying pace spiking in Q1 2026. In the first two months of Q1, purchases approached about $3 bought for every $2 sold, suggesting the dip attracted meaningful buying interest.
Under the Hood: UiPath's Q4 Was Better Than the Stock Suggests
Underneath the headline numbers, the quarter's strength was broad-based across licenses, subscriptions, and services, driven by both new client additions and retention. Annual recurring revenue grew a net 11%, supported by a 7% increase in retention revenue. Margins benefited from operating leverage and quality improvements. Cash flow was robust, with free cash flow of $182 million (38% of revenue) and near-complete conversion to cash.
Free cash flow matters because UiPath is not only profitable on an operating basis but is also returning capital to shareholders. While the company does not pay a dividend, it reduced shares outstanding by an aggressive 3.8% in FY2026 through repurchases. Buybacks may moderate in FY2027 but should remain meaningful: UiPath authorized a new $500 million repurchase program after exhausting the prior $1 billion authorization.
UiPath's balance sheet shows no obvious red flags. Cash and current assets dipped slightly but were offset by increases in total assets, resulting in higher equity and low leverage — total liabilities remain below equity and only marginally above cash. The company is in a strong financial position and can invest to support its strategy. Catalysts for the year include the integration of WorkFusion, ongoing product innovation, and accelerating adoption of agentic AI.
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