Trump Devises the Death of the IRS ☠️

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Special Report

U.S. Shipbuilding Revival: 3 Stocks to Watch Now

Written by Chris Markoch. Published: 3/15/2026.

Busy naval shipyard with warships and cranes at dusk, illustrating the defense shipbuilding surge benefiting companies like Huntington Ingalls.

Key Points

  • The White House Maritime Action Plan could unlock hundreds of billions in funding aimed at restoring U.S. shipbuilding capacity.
  • Defense contractors like Huntington Ingalls and General Dynamics are positioned to win large naval contracts tied to submarines and destroyers.
  • BAE Systems offers international diversification, benefiting from rising European defense spending alongside potential U.S. shipbuilding demand.
  • Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company

When President Trump signed an executive order calling for the restoration of America's maritime dominance, it set off a chain of events investors would be wise to notice. The executive order contains many elements, but the centerpiece is America's Maritime Action Plan (MAP), a broad blueprint to rebuild domestic shipbuilding backed by hundreds of billions in federal financing.

Before this is dismissed as open-ended spending, consider a few hard facts. Fewer than 1% of new commercial ships are built in the United States, and China has dominated global shipbuilding for years. The MAP is Washington's answer to that imbalance.

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MAP isn't the only source of new funding. The Pentagon's proposed fiscal year 2026 (FY2026) budget and a separate reconciliation package together earmark tens of billions specifically for naval shipbuilding — including Virginia-class submarines and guided-missile destroyers. The MAP and the defense budget are separate programs, but both are pulling in the same direction.

For investors, that creates an interesting opportunity. A handful of defense contractors sit squarely in the crosshairs of this spending wave. Some are pure-play military shipbuilders, others combine defense and commercial exposure, and at least one adds a European defense tailwind on top of any U.S. upside.

Below, we break down three aerospace and defense stocks that stand to benefit and what investors should know before adding any of them to a portfolio.

The Pure-Play Leader in U.S. Naval Shipbuilding

Huntington Ingalls (NYSE: HII) is one of the clearest beneficiaries of new maritime spending. The company is the nation's largest military shipbuilder, and before MAP was announced it was already forecasting up to $50 billion in new government contracts over the next 24 months.

In its most recent earnings report, Huntington Ingalls posted full-year revenue of $12.5 billion, up 8.2% year-over-year (YOY). Shipbuilding throughput rose 14% YOY and is expected to increase to 15% in 2026.

HII stock pulled back from some of its 2026 gains after the report due to concerns about near-term margins and whether next year's earnings will justify the run-up the stock has already seen — it has surged more than 100% over the past 12 months.

MAP likely contributed to increased institutional interest. HII saw a notable rise in institutional investment in Q4 2025 that coincided with the stock's December rally.

As of mid-March, Huntington Ingalls traded slightly above its consensus price target, although analysts have been raising targets since the start of the year. Citigroup has the highest published target, raising it to $465 from $450 on Feb. 12.

A Combination of Shipbuilding Strength and Dividend Growth

If Huntington Ingalls is the primary pure-play beneficiary, General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) is a close second. The company participates in naval construction through its Bath Iron Works and Electric Boat divisions while also operating other defense and aerospace businesses.

GD is up roughly 30% over the past 12 months and jumped about 4% after MAP plans were announced. That followed a strong January earnings report in which the company beat both revenue and earnings estimates: revenue rose 10.1% YOY and earnings increased 13.4% YOY.

GD shares trade slightly below the consensus price target, but analysts have been raising targets; Susquehanna currently has the highest target at $420.

General Dynamics appeals to both income and growth investors. It is a dividend aristocrat that recently increased its dividend for the 34th consecutive year, bringing the annual payout to $6.36 per share.

A Choice for Global Defense and Maritime Exposure

BAE Systems (OTCMKTS: BAESY), headquartered in London, is less likely to capture MAP dollars directly, but it does maintain a U.S. shipbuilding presence that could benefit if the U.S. fleet upgrade becomes a full-court press.

That potential U.S. upside would be on top of momentum from increased defense spending across Europe. BAE is the largest defense contractor in Europe; its maritime segment accounted for more than 22% of 2024 revenue and grew about 10% YOY.

BAESY has risen more than 40% over the past 12 months and is up over 30% year-to-date in 2026, pushing the stock near its 52-week high. Despite the recent run, analysts maintain a consensus Buy rating.


 

Special Report

Market Crash Warning? Wall Street Veteran Says Mid-March Could Mark a Turning Point

Written by Bridget Bennett. Published: 3/11/2026.

Computer screen shows plunging stock market chart beside ballot box and U.S. flag, highlighting election-driven market volatility risk.

Key Points

  • Marc Chaikin, founder and CEO of Chaikin Analytics, says the midterm year has historically been the weakest phase of the presidential cycle, with peaks often forming in mid-March to early April.
  • Even if indexes are near highs, internal weakness in speculative and large-cap tech can show up first and foreshadow broader downside.
  • Preparation matters: build cash, trim weak holdings, and watch key technical levels to stay flexible if volatility rises.
  • Special Report: Elon's "Hidden" Company

When asked about the market outlook heading into mid-March, Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin said current conditions are unfolding much like the prediction he made a year ago.

Chaikin, the founder and CEO of Chaikin Analytics, has more than 50 years of experience in the stock market and is known for blending fundamental and technical analysis. His current warning is rooted in the presidential election cycle, one of the market’s longest-tracked seasonal patterns. Historically, he noted, the second year of a presidential term—often called the midterm year—has been the weakest stretch for equities.

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Looking at the last 17 presidential cycles dating back to the 1950s:

  • The second year of the cycle averaged just a 1% gain in the S&P 500.
  • The other three years averaged double-digit returns.
  • Market peaks during midterm years often occur between mid-March and early April.

That timing window is exactly where the market finds itself now.

Historical patterns don’t guarantee future outcomes, but Chaikin says they provide a useful framework for understanding probabilities—especially when other warning signs are emerging.

Markets Trading on Expectations, Not Fundamentals

Recent volatility highlights how sensitive markets have become to headlines and geopolitical developments.

Oil prices moving above $100 per barrel have triggered fears that inflation could accelerate again. At the same time, weak employment data suggests the economy may need lower interest rates.

That combination creates a difficult situation for the Federal Reserve.

Normally, rising inflation prompts the Fed to raise rates; weak employment pushes it to cut. With both pressures occurring simultaneously, the central bank has limited flexibility.

Adding to the uncertainty are geopolitical tensions and rapidly shifting news headlines. Real-time information—often amplified through social media and political messaging—can cause algorithmic trading systems to react instantly, accelerating short-term market swings.

The result is a market environment driven less by fundamentals and more by short-term reactions and uncertainty.

Weakness Already Appearing Beneath the Surface

Despite recent volatility, the broader market remains relatively close to its highs. The S&P 500 is only about 2% below its peak. For context, a correction is typically defined as a 10%–20% decline, while a bear market generally requires a 20% drop.

However, Chaikin says many popular stocks are already struggling.

Several of the so-called Magnificent Seven—a handful of mega-cap tech leaders—account for roughly one-third of the S&P 500’s market value, and a number of them are already in steep downtrends. Investors heavily exposed to tech through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or individual holdings like Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) may already be experiencing losses far larger than the overall index suggests.

Another important signal comes from the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA: ARKK), often viewed as a proxy for speculative technology stocks. That fund has already fallen around 28% from its October highs, suggesting that risk appetite may be fading.

These kinds of internal cracks often appear before the broader market begins to decline.

3 Ways Investors Can Protect Their Portfolios

Rather than attempting to predict exactly what will happen next, Chaikin emphasizes preparation. If markets move into a correction or bear phase, investors who plan ahead will be far better positioned.

1. Raise Cash to a “Sleeping Level”

The first step is simple: raise cash.

Chaikin suggests investors hold enough cash so they can remain calm if markets decline sharply. For most portfolios, that means holding roughly 15% to 25% in cash.

The goal isn’t to exit the market completely. Instead, it’s to create a cushion.

Cash serves two important purposes:

  • It reduces emotional pressure during declines.
  • It provides dry powder to take advantage of opportunities later.

Investors who stay fully invested during downturns often feel forced to sell at the worst possible moment.

2. Sell Weak Stocks First

If you need cash, a logical place to start is by selling your weakest holdings.

Chaikin recommends trimming stocks that exhibit bearish characteristics in quantitative models such as the Chaikin Power Gauge, which evaluates companies based on 20 fundamental and technical factors.

Stocks already showing bearish signals near market highs are often the most vulnerable during corrections, while stronger areas of the market may remain resilient. Chaikin highlighted several sectors currently demonstrating relative strength, including healthcare, aerospace and defense, energy, and infrastructure tied to data center expansion.

Rather than automatically buying the dip, investors may benefit from focusing on industry groups with strong momentum and fundamentals.

3. Watch Key Technical Levels

Technical indicators can also provide early clues about the market’s direction.

One of the most widely watched technical signals is the 200-day moving average of the S&P 500. Many traders view it as a rough dividing line between longer-term uptrends and downtrends. If the index holds above the 200-day, pullbacks often stay contained. But a decisive break below it can signal that selling pressure is widening—and that a routine dip may be turning into something more serious.

Other indicators, such as the VIX volatility index, have already shown spikes in recent trading sessions. While volatility can create short-term buying opportunities, sustained spikes often accompany periods of market stress.

Why the Best Opportunity May Come Later

Despite the cautious outlook, Chaikin is optimistic.

Midterm election years have often created some of the best buying opportunities of the presidential cycle. Markets frequently bottom in late September or early October after months of volatility, then launch into powerful rallies. In some cases, gains following those lows have averaged more than 40% over the next 15 months.

That’s why preparation now can matter more than prediction.

Investors who maintain cash during volatile periods have the flexibility to take advantage of opportunities when prices reset. Those who stay fully invested through a sharp downturn may instead find themselves forced to react at exactly the wrong moment.

For now, the market hasn’t entered bear territory—but several warning signs are beginning to emerge beneath the surface.

With historical patterns pointing to a weaker midterm year and geopolitical uncertainty adding to market volatility, this may be a time for investors to focus on strengthening their portfolios rather than chasing short-term moves.

If history repeats itself, the turbulence of 2026 may not just test investors’ patience—it could ultimately create one of the most attractive buying opportunities of the entire market cycle.


 
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