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2 Bad News Buys: Why Palo Alto and Zscaler Are Screaming Deals

By Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 3/2/2026.

Key Points

Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler have sold off sharply from their peaks, pushing technicals and valuations to levels that historically foreshadow rebounds.
Both companies lead cybersecurity with unified, platform-based approaches that deliver industry-leading margins and above-sector revenue growth.
Institutional buying has overtaken selling since late 2025, and short-covering is underway in both stocks.
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Down as much as 55% from peak to trough and more than 20% year-to-date in 2026, it may be time to buy cybersecurity stocks such as Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) and Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS). Valuation concerns have weighed on the sector and may continue to do so, but shares are trading near long-term lows and are unlikely to fall much farther.

Their growth trajectories remain robust, and long-term forecasts likely understate their potential in a world of accelerating digitization, expanding digital services, tighter regulation, and AI. While AI drives efficiency and automation for businesses, it is also enhancing the capabilities of cybercriminals.

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Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler are well-positioned within the industry. Their unified approaches deliver comprehensive security in a fragmented market, enabling vendor consolidation, superior performance, stronger threat detection/prevention/mitigation/recovery, and scale that supports higher margins.

Both companies deliver industry-leading gross and profit margins, with gross margins roughly in the 70%–80% range versus legacy, hardware-based providers. Palo Alto offers more than 20 products across cloud, networking, and systems security, while Zscaler is widely regarded as a leader in cloud-native, zero-trust architecture.

Oversold and Ready to Rebound, Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler Are Accumulated

The charts point to oversold conditions and a strong capacity to rebound. Monthly charts capture the ultra-long-term secular trends and show both names at long-term lows, with stochastic oscillators near historical lows — a pattern that often precedes a recovery. Price action on these charts also corresponds with technical support.

Weekly charts tell a similar story: markets are at least oversold. Zscaler's stochastic has been flat at extreme lows for months while the moving-average convergence-divergence (MACD) shows a modest bullish divergence, suggesting bears are losing their grip and bulls are starting to gain control. Both names have registered increased trading volume, indicating buying interest at these levels.

Daily charts are constructive when viewed alongside the monthly and weekly signals. They suggest the stocks have likely reached at least a near-term bottom and have scope to rebound, aligning with prior support/resistance zones. Indicators are positioned to trigger a strong buy signal if price action resumes upward — a development that would confirm the bottoms and make reversals higher-probability events. See also market reversals.

Valuation, Analyst Sentiment, and Institutional Activity Point to Cybersecurity Rebound

On near-term metrics these stocks still look expensive — PANW trades near 40X this year's earnings outlook and Zscaler around 36X — but those multiples reflect expectations for robust growth.

The cybersecurity market is expected to grow at roughly a 10%–15% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next decade, and leaders such as Palo Alto and Zscaler should grow faster than the industry average.

Palo Alto, the larger of the two, is forecast to grow at a high-teens CAGR and Zscaler at a low-to-mid-20s CAGR, placing both at attractive valuations versus long-term consensus.

Under those long-term forecasts, the stocks would trade at roughly 12X (PANW) and 8X (ZS), implying about a 100% upside for Palo Alto and nearly 200% for Zscaler to reach broad-market valuation multiples as they grow into their forecasts. If they continue to command a premium for market leadership, upside could be greater.

Analysts contributed to the 2025–2026 corrections by lowering price targets, which pushed both stocks toward the low ends of their target ranges.

As of early March 2026, however, those corrections look overblown and value is emerging. Zscaler trades well below the low end of its target range and, at consensus, still has roughly an 85% upside. Palo Alto sits near the low end of its range, with consensus implying about a 40% upside.

Institutional activity also supports the case for a bottom. Institutions sold heavily in Q3 2025, which pressured prices, but reverted to buying in Q4 and early Q1 2026.

MarketBeat's data show institutions accumulated at a rate of more than $2 purchased for every $1 sold, providing solid support and a potential tailwind as rebounds gain traction. Short interest has also declined, consistent with short-covering in both names.

Additional Reading from MarketBeat

Worried About Volatility? These 3 ETFs Have You Covered

Submitted by Nathan Reiff. Publication Date: 3/9/2026.

Key Points

In a turbulent market, ETFs focused on low-volatility stocks, value names, and free cash flow leaders may help to build a strong defensive position.
USMV, VLUE, and COWZ have all outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date, and all provide dividends as a bonus.
These funds take different approaches to defensive portfolio building, providing a variety of approaches for investors concerned about volatility.
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After a prolonged rally throughout much of 2025—even in the face of mounting geopolitical uncertainty, shifting tariff policies, and more—the S&P 500 has cooled its momentum early in 2026. With the market moving increasingly erratically, the S&P is down about 2% year-to-date (YTD). Many investors may feel they can no longer rely on a continued upward trajectory.

When volatility increases, a defensive exchange-traded fund (ETF) can offer greater stability. Some ETFs screen holdings for volatility factors and target companies that tend to hold up better when the broader market shifts. Others use alternative metrics—such as strong free cash flow—to find companies with steadier fundamentals. The funds below provide not only a defensive play for investors worried about volatility this year, but also an opportunity for some growth when the broader market may be faltering.

Low-Volatility Fund With Stability and a Dividend Bonus

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The iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (BATS: USMV) tracks an index that screens companies for low volatility, resulting in a portfolio of more than 170 U.S. stocks across the market-cap spectrum. Volatility is a factor often overlooked by investors, and USMV is among a relatively small group of funds focused on this characteristic. Despite its niche approach, it has sizable assets under management—more than $23 billion—and a healthy one-month average trading volume close to 3 million shares.

USMV's portfolio may not be broad enough for some investors to serve as their only exposure to U.S. equities. It is also tilted toward information technology stocks, which account for more than a quarter of the holdings. The fund's main appeal is concentrating U.S. equity exposure in companies that tend to experience smaller share-price swings than the broader market.

Lower volatility generally means smaller downside moves but also potentially smaller gains, so USMV typically appeals most to investors concerned about a market downturn. Its expense ratio is 0.15%, which is modest given the strategy. With a YTD return of around 5%, it has outperformed the market so far this year. Combined with a dividend yield of 1.48%, USMV offers a defensive option with modest income.

A Value Fund Outperforming the Market by a Fair Margin This Year

Value stocks aren't inherently defensive, but their lower valuations can help them better withstand volatility. The iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF (BATS: VLUE) targets large- and mid-cap value companies. Like USMV, it is also weighted toward information technology, with roughly 37% of the portfolio in that sector.

VLUE's portfolio is narrower than USMV's, holding about 150 names, and it is more concentrated in a few positions. Semiconductor giant Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) accounts for close to 10% of the fund. Investors should be mindful of potential overlap if they hold VLUE alongside individual tech positions that may already be in the fund's basket.

VLUE's expense ratio is 0.15%, matching USMV, and the fund has outperformed with roughly 8% YTD returns. It also offers a dividend yield of 2.07%, which adds to its appeal for income-conscious investors.

Free Cash Flow Stocks May Also Provide Some Stability in Tough Times

Free cash flow isn't a guarantee of share-price stability, but companies that generate ample cash typically have stronger operations and fundamentals, which can help them weather market turbulence.

The Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (BATS: COWZ) targets U.S. companies from the Russell 1000 with high free cash flow yield. As of the end of 2025, COWZ's portfolio had a collective free cash flow yield of 6.08%, compared with 3.01% for the broader Russell 1000.

Given its specialized approach, COWZ charges a higher expense ratio of 0.49%. Many investors may find that fee justified: the fund has outperformed the market YTD with returns of about 6% and also provides passive income through a dividend yield of 1.39%.

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