Big Brawny Banks Break Below Bids

 
   
     
   
 
MAY 04 2023
 
 
Big Brawny Banks Break Below Bids
   
DON YOCHAM
Some Days You Give Up the Fight
 

Just a quick note from me as I’m more than a little under the weather.

I’ve been fighting this funk for a week but today I flew the white flag.

It’s a doozy. And here’s a sign of how this particular malady is messing with me.

You know how we all have those recurring dreams that unforgivingly dredge up some deep seated anxiety. Well, I have two.

They are:

I’m late, lost, didn’t study, or can’t find something.

I try to run. Legs won’t work. So I end up pulling myself along with my arms to gain speed.

Well, this particular reverie maliciously employed both plot devices to ultimately drive me up a rain soaked hill in the middle of the night that suddenly blocked the road home.

I called it quits there too.

And as I sat in the mud atop that hill, I gazed back down the road which I had just dragged myself to find that it was now crowded with AI controlled robots going about their business.

Then I woke up and read this

As far as markets go, banks are sick too.

A regional cold went national today. I couldn’t find a single “diversified” bank stock that traded higher. At least within a couple hours of the close.

And, as you well know, I believe banks matter.

My friend Scott Welsh thinks so too (which you can read more about in his following piece). And you can ask Jeffry Turnmire what he thinks during tomorrow’s “Morning Monster” – details below.

I’m sure I’ll be back at it tomorrow lest my publisher discovers that ChatGPT provides a no-quit solution that will stick to writing about markets.  


Regional bank stocks painted the tape a sea of red today.

Take What the Markets Give You.
 
 
SCOTT WELSH
Betting Against Banks
 

Well, the Fed did not delight yesterday.

It didn’t do anything terrible. It just didn’t do anything wonderful.

It raised rates like everyone thought and kind of hinted at pausing future rate hikes.

That’s not bad news at all.

But it surely wasn’t enough positive ammunition to stave off the terrible regional bank onslaught.

Smaller banks are getting killed today as everyone is starting to worry once again about the next bank to fail. 

PacWest Bancorp (PACW) chart is a nightmare for Bulls:


 
 
And that’s after PACW said its deposits went up!

JPM CEO Jamie Dimon promised the banking crisis was over a few days ago. That’s looking like a horrible prediction.

So what can we do?

We can put the financial ETF, Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), at the top of our radar and simply wait for the storm to blow over. When XLF gets back above the long-term moving average (above $34), it could be a nice Buy:

 
 
But if we wanted action, a Short trade could be taken (or a Put could be bought) if XLF drops below $30.35:
 
 
We could shoot for a downward target of $24 or just trail the stop behind the moving average.

It doesn’t look like the crisis is over. 

And there are going to be some possibilities during the volatility. 

Happy trading,

Scott
JEFFRY TURNMIRE’S MORNING MONSTER 🎥
Apple After the Close
 
 
 

Corporate earnings reports are tapering down but we still have Apple Inc. (AAPL) reporting after the close.

And with all regional bank concerns spilling over to the large diversified names, there’s still plenty of noise to knock stocks around tomorrow.

We’ll find out which ones get motivated the most tomorrow morning at 9:15am ET on “Morning Monster.”

Every day, I livestream what I see as the day’s big movers. I cover specific stocks I expect to move. I give you my rundown on all the major indices. Plus, I’ll take your requests to give whatever you want a good look.

Make sure you join me right here

Jeffry
CELESTE LINDMAN
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Celeste
   
 

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