Watch Now: S&P Looking Long-Term Bullish

 
   
     
   
 
May 08 2023
   

Dear Investor,

It’s important to remember that stock markets and the economy are not the same.

The U.S. could be well on its way to a recession and stocks could continue higher for months. There’s nothing at all unusual about that. Nor is it unexpected.

On this morning’s “Sizzle Stocks” we spent some time looking at the S&P 500 via E-Mini S&P 500 Futures contracts. In particular, how trading volume over the last year has taken shape.

 
 
You can see a steady volume build from the lows below 3,600 up to 4,147 where it is currently trading, and then a relatively sharp drop off in volume at 4,200.

4,200 is the resistance level I’ve been talking about since last November. And I don’t see the market trading through it anytime soon. But longer term I think the market is positioning itself for a significant rally - possibly to 4,500 or above.

The market could be anticipating that the banking crisis will finally force the Fed to cut rates. Hard to say.

But this looks to me like the market could trade sideways or lower through the end of summer, then stage a rally in the fall.

I’ll keep an eye on it.

 
Take What the Markets Give You.
 
 
CHUCK HUGHES
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